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bspahn
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12-16-2008, 06:26 AM
Post subject: behind neutral EV
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 851
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I have been using Holdem Manager since earlier this year and I have put in about a quarter million hands.
Now, something really bugs me about how poker is going with this history, and this is that I am consistently running behind EV from all in hands over a very large sample size. Every month, period.
I only play 0.5/1 and 1/2 6max NLHE and overall I am running close to 5k behind neutral EV in this sample, and that's a very very large dent in my profit over this period.
I'm curious as to explanations, a statistical analysis over this sample size and comparisons of other grinders who are using holdem manager, or other software that evaluations true EV for their sessions. Is someone running like god out there at my expense? Advice appreciated, thanks.
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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thefan83
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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AnTman_69
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Flush
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Brisbane, Australia
Posts: 463
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http://people.fh-landshut.de/~jveit/sinceaug.jpg
thefan83's graph. I think this was wat nuts wats hinting at.
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bspahn
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 851
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where could i upload a graph to illustrate what i'm talking about?
could the people here please review their holdem manager results if they have a reasonable sample size to compare?
i would literally have to go one one epic tear to even come close to getting back to neutral EV here.
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Alexos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Montreal
Posts: 2,766
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you're not alone... btw don't expect it to turn around anytime soon, just forget about it and assume you'll always run below EV. This way you'll be happy when u run at EV, and meh when you run below it. Don't waste too much time complaining about it either...
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Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //
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