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AQs monotone flop 4-way

  
 
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johnny_fish
Old 09-27-2006, 11:42 PM     Post subject: AQs monotone flop 4-way #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 37/25/1 over a small sample. Didn't get out of line so far. Turn/river plan?

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $57.17
UTG+1: $94.75
Hero: $261.78
Button: $411.15
SB: $193.95
BB: $58

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero raises to $11, Button calls, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds.

Flop: ($48, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $34, Button calls, 2 folds.

Turn: ($116, 2 players)

Hero ? (212$ behind)
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Fnord
Old 09-27-2006, 11:48 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Pattern Mapper sez he's either on the flush draw or you're in for a world of hurt.

Check
 
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johnny_fish
Old 09-28-2006, 12:10 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Pattern Mapper sez he's either on the flush draw or you're in for a world of hurt.

Check
Could you elaborate?

If he checks behind, bet/fold most rivers? Fold if he bets the turn big?
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Fnord
Old 09-28-2006, 12:32 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_fish
Could you elaborate?
Do you DARE question the great Pattern Mapper?!?!?!?!

Alright. He flat called your c-bet with 2 players remaining to act. A lukewarm hand will often raise there to isolate your c-bet (which into 3 players doesn't figure to be too light, but is still a wide enough range Ax would figure to be in pretty good shape) and force the players behind him to commit or fold. With a draw or very strong hand, he will just call your light bet and hope someone else gets dragged into the pot. Furthermore, the multi-way nature of this pot will force him to play his hand a little more straight up than he might heads-up.

Another plausable scenario is that he's floating Tx to see what's up and if you really have an Ace or just because he's stubborn post-flop. If that's what's up, he just got there.

All that being said, more information on him than just PT pre-flop numbers would help further clairify things.

I check and see what he does. Maybe I call, maybe I fold, I might even push. I'm crazy like that. CRAZY I TELL YOU.
 
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SmackinYaUp
Old 09-28-2006, 01:07 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Check and play some poker. Your top pair is not a hand worth getting too attached to so don't feel bad chucking it. It's not like you just flopped bottom set in a reraised pot on a TJQs board. That would suck. This... eh, no big deal.

Honestly, I don't see him raising a lukewarm hand here with people behind him yet to act. A lot of people get scared and will just call with something iffy. I really can't see him calling with a ten on this board and with people behind him either unless he's an idiot.

So check and call something small and hope he gives you a cheap showdown. If he bets anything substantial go ahead and fold because he's going to make it a real bitch to play the river.
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Fnord
Old 09-28-2006, 01:14 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp
I really can't see him calling with a ten on this board and with people behind him either unless he's an idiot.
We haven't ruled this out yet.
 
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elipsesjeff
Old 09-28-2006, 01:51 AM #7 (permalink)  
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If he has a hand like KTo, QTo, JTo, they are all calling these flop bets here if they have they have a big heart. You've got to check behind here.

Fnord, your mapper must be broken. Mine has the Queen of hearts coming on the river.


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SmackinYaUp
Old 09-28-2006, 01:57 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Good point fnord, good point eclipse. I didn't think of a ten + heart sticking around. If you somehow ended up in this pot, would you call with T + nonking heart?
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elipsesjeff
Old 09-28-2006, 02:02 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SmackinYaUp
Good point fnord, good point eclipse. I didn't think of a ten + heart sticking around. If you somehow ended up in this pot, would you call with T + nonking heart?
fuck no.

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SmackinYaUp
Old 09-28-2006, 02:07 AM #10 (permalink)  
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oh yea lol. for like a year I read it as eclipse until you mentioned it being elipses. then I forgot again forever until now. I like being real quick like, you know?
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johnny_fish
Old 09-28-2006, 02:55 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Ok, didn't think things through and was focusing on the FD so I bet planning to fold to a push..

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $57.17
UTG+1: $94.75
Hero: $261.78
Button: $411.15
SB: $193.95
BB: $58

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero raises to $11, Button calls, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds.

Flop: ($48, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $34, Button calls, 2 folds.

Turn: ($116, 2 players)
Hero bets $75, Button calls.

River: ($266, 2 players)
Hero ? (142$ left)

It seems every 2K hands or so I just donate $$ with a hand like this
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SmackinYaUp
Old 09-28-2006, 03:46 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Well, at least the river was a complete blank. That turn bet inflated the pot too much. Unless you have some kind of read that he's a one card flush chasing fish who bluffs big on missed draws, you're gonna have to check and fold here.
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gabe
Old 09-28-2006, 04:23 PM #13 (permalink)  
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minbet!!
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elipsesjeff
Old 09-28-2006, 05:01 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
minbet!!
for real?


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euphoricism
Old 09-28-2006, 05:07 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Fnord used my jackoff icon. I feel so honored.
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gabe
Old 09-28-2006, 05:09 PM #16 (permalink)  
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i dont know, im currently researching the psychology surrounding the minbet.
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scarface737
Old 09-29-2006, 03:15 AM #17 (permalink)  

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once u minbet he raises with atc and u have no clue where u are
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Silly String
Old 09-29-2006, 01:53 PM #18 (permalink)  
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My weak ass flop play:
Is it too terribly weak to check from the cut-off and wait till a safe turn card drops before putting any money into this 4-way pot with a bad flop? This will control the pot size with a very marginal holding due to flop texture. Too weak?
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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gabe
Old 09-29-2006, 02:11 PM #19 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scarface737
once u minbet he raises with atc and u have no clue where u are
welllll if he raises with ATC then we have a better clue than if we just checked
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