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Any chance not to get owned here? 100nl

  
 
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XTR1000
Old 08-06-2009, 03:46 PM     Post subject: Any chance not to get owned here? 100nl #1 (permalink)  
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Common scenario, a luke warm hand oop. Ignore the blinds for now, CO is an active TAG 28/25ish. In a vacuum our hand is too strong to c/f, while c/c and b/f leave us quite exploitable c/f´ing almost any non-9 later street. I´ve been going with c/f till now and felt dirty about it.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
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Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($154.85)
UTG+1 ($19.50)
CO ($245.80)
BTN ($116.20)
SB ($203.55)
BB ($37.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, CO calls $3.50, 1 fold, SB calls $3, BB calls $2.50

Flop: ($14, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:31 PM #2 (permalink)  
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yeah you b/f flop that's how you don't get owned
and you possibly barrel turn if you feel like you're getting "exploited"
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jyms
Old 08-06-2009, 06:00 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I'm not betting this flop ever. 4 way, your getting called by so much. I C/C one street. Getting rasied on this flop by Ax FD's and guys that love to raise. Your not betting KQs here so why bet a smaller pair. Your certainly not folding out better hands, but I am not folding to one bet either.
 
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bode
Old 08-06-2009, 07:29 PM #4 (permalink)  
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wait, why aren't we betting KQ here jyms? typo hopefully?

i check and call one bet, but betting here 4 way doesn't seem great.
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Old 08-06-2009, 08:51 PM #5 (permalink)  
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everyone puts us on AK and folds imo
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Parasurama
Old 08-06-2009, 09:06 PM #6 (permalink)  
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i agree with iopq
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Da GOAT
Old 08-06-2009, 09:19 PM #7 (permalink)  
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this is def a b/f spot then pot control maybe, all depends on which opps call. i dont have a c/c range here, we have some position here so bet. ill bet a lasrge part of my range here.
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jyms
Old 08-06-2009, 09:47 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I just don't see what betting accomplishes here. We get called by any K that called pre, we get raised by tons of FD's and hands that think we are FOS and when not in a vacuum, I have usually built up enough mistrust by betting in so many spots, there is no way they are just folding to any Cbet. There is no hand we beat that calls a Cbet unless they are planning to make our life difficult later since we really can't stand any heat. And the same holds true for KQ. What does a bet accomplish except get called by better or fold out worse?
 
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Da GOAT
Old 08-06-2009, 09:56 PM #9 (permalink)  
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what if i said i am betting 100% of my range if HU IP, im bettign 100% IP vs 2 opp, Ill cb less vs 3 but ill still have a large %. ie cbing here takes down the pot more than you think, by cbing we look like at least a K hand therefore playing postlfop is easy enough.
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jyms
Old 08-06-2009, 10:05 PM #10 (permalink)  
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OK fair enough. Betting makes it easy, but is that the best EV play? I still don't like betting here and I think plenty of worse hands will bet. either the CO or the blinds on the turn. One bet here or calling one bet by a Kx is the same.
 
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Da GOAT
Old 08-06-2009, 10:09 PM #11 (permalink)  
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i think its best to take it down than get bluffed off later OR convince ourselves our hand is face up when c/c or call on turn and find trouble on river.
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Galapogos
Old 08-06-2009, 11:05 PM #12 (permalink)  
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I c/f and feel pretty good about it without having any idea about their ranges since you didn't offer any. People are generally going to play pretty honest here I think especially with the BB's stack looking quite shovable to a flop bet.


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grindinginnj
Old 08-06-2009, 11:14 PM #13 (permalink)  
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I think i bet this flop 50%,c/c50%.
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bspahn
Old 08-06-2009, 11:29 PM #14 (permalink)  
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cbet here is fine. we're just trying to take it down, 3 or 4ways it's ok to bluff as well perhaps less so because of the FD though.

if we are CHECKING it's definitely a C/F !
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meeloche
Old 08-07-2009, 12:37 AM #15 (permalink)  
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I'd probably still bet, HU this is a trivially easy bet.

I think betting here multiway is fine cause you can still get called by all his draws that he'll play passively cause of the perceived strength of your hand. Its also good to protect against hands like A10 QJ etc that have 6 outs.
 
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XTR1000
Old 08-07-2009, 08:34 AM #16 (permalink)  
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Let me clarify my problem, I dont know why it takes me 20 hrs on average to put my thoughts in words.

I see esp. DG´s point in betting flop to avoid further complications, maybe my perceiption of the villain is way off here, but dont you think people peel quite light here (if it was hu) and give us trouble anyway?

The example is not best, as b/f in the presence of the blinds overreps our hand and c/c scenarios aren´t that bad as we have relative position to the most likely person to bet flop.

In a hu spot with a competent CO who is playing a wider range than fit-or-fold-22-99 a bet hopes for FDs or 8x to call. How often does a reg raise his FD when we bet HU? How many 8x are there in his range? How often does he decide to turn those into a bluff when we check to him twice? Given that our aired range cbets this flop almost always, how often do we get called actually by weaker and have to give up on turn or river?
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Sir Pawnalot
Old 08-07-2009, 08:53 AM #17 (permalink)  
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Overrepping your hand is not bad here. This is because we get very little value from worse hands anyways.

I am with IOPQ and GOAT on this one. Checking puts us in a difficult spot, because player with position might take a stab and then we have no clue.

I like lines which make our decisions easy. No way we get owned if we bet here- its the only bet we make anyways. Folding is not bad either, but i dont like folding when I think I have best hand.
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Old 08-07-2009, 09:14 AM #18 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Galapogos
I c/f and feel pretty good about it without having any idea about their ranges since you didn't offer any. People are generally going to play pretty honest here I think especially with the BB's stack looking quite shovable to a flop bet.
I think I'm c/f here also. We just have very little equity when behind, while most draws have 9-15 outs. So it's a barely ahead to way behind spot.

It's a 4 way flop, we get relatively little value from worse. The better hands that fold is only a small portion of their range.

I'd bet 89s here obv.
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Sir Pawnalot
Old 08-07-2009, 10:20 AM #19 (permalink)  
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What about c/r? If position does not bet, we get freecard. If he does bet, our FE is great vs his range, especially since its deep.

Not arguing for a c/r obviously, but do you think its a good option?
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bspahn
Old 08-07-2009, 03:16 PM #20 (permalink)  
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would you CR AK/AA/sets here if you're thinking about CR 89hh ?
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Old 08-07-2009, 04:08 PM #21 (permalink)  
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i'd just bet 8 dollars.

1) a few better made hands might fold
2) a few worse made hands might call
3) draws call
4) protects against being bluffed by the button on the flop (and the blinds on the turn)
5) but most importantly you are likely to be up against like 4-5 live cards, so an 8 dollar shot at 14 dollars is gonna be greater than the 20-25% pot equity you have vs villains' ranges.
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Sir Pawnalot
Old 08-07-2009, 04:11 PM #22 (permalink)  
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Yes. If I am in c/r mode I have KQ+, any heart draw, and equally many if not more bluffs. But the ratio between value/bluff increases in favor of value as players are adjusting.

If I have chosen bet/bet/bet type of value lines I dont like c/ring a draw here.
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nutsinho
Old 08-07-2009, 06:23 PM #23 (permalink)  
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having position on 2/3 opponents and not being very worried about getting bluffed in a 4 way pot makes this an easy protection bet for me. 10-11$. checking then calling a bet anywhere is basically out of the question so i am choosing between betting and c/f. If i get c/c its not the end of the world because there are not many turn/river combinations that will allow him to lead the river with just a pair of kings so I will generally be able to show my hand down vs an oop caller.
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oskar
Old 08-08-2009, 12:46 AM #24 (permalink)  
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I'd bet there too most of the time... ~$9. It's a really complex situation though... you're always bluffing some people and value betting against others... so it depends on the field.
But I think betting is good a lot, because you can barrel some limp/callers off random Kx broadways, and you can take it to showdown vs a draw or a random monkey with 68, 78...
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Old 08-08-2009, 12:58 AM #25 (permalink)  
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I think nutsinho nailed it when he said it was a protection bet
it's not only protection against real outs, it's also protection against further action because if turn is a broadway someone might fire his picked up straight draw or hit a pair and there is no way for us to tell
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Old 08-08-2009, 01:19 AM #26 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
I think nutsinho nailed it when he said it was a protection bet
it's not only protection against real outs, it's also protection against further action because if turn is a broadway someone might fire his picked up straight draw or hit a pair and there is no way for us to tell
Oh cmon no one is going to bluff in a fourway pot, we don't really care about folding the best hand because its rarely going to happen.

You bet the flop because your going to get sucked out really easily fourway and you can get called by worse.
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Old 08-08-2009, 01:28 AM #27 (permalink)  
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I think nutsinho nailed it when he said it was a protection bet
it's not only protection against real outs, it's also protection against further action because if turn is a broadway someone might fire his picked up straight draw or hit a pair and there is no way for us to tell
Oh cmon no one is going to bluff in a fourway pot, we don't really care about folding the best hand because its rarely going to happen.

You bet the flop because your going to get sucked out really easily fourway and you can get called by worse.
if I'm OTB I bet ATC because "no one is going to bluff in a fourway pot"

I get SO many folds
but of course you get value from worse, nobody is denying that, I'd rather bet 99 here than JdTd
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Old 08-08-2009, 02:17 AM #28 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
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Originally Posted by iopq
I think nutsinho nailed it when he said it was a protection bet
it's not only protection against real outs, it's also protection against further action because if turn is a broadway someone might fire his picked up straight draw or hit a pair and there is no way for us to tell
Oh cmon no one is going to bluff in a fourway pot, we don't really care about folding the best hand because its rarely going to happen.

You bet the flop because your going to get sucked out really easily fourway and you can get called by worse.
if I'm OTB I bet ATC because "no one is going to bluff in a fourway pot"

I get SO many folds
but of course you get value from worse
, nobody is denying that, I'd rather bet 99 here than JdTd
So let me get this straight, if your OTB they dont fold midpair but you get "so many folds." That's odd because its statistically improbable when three other players are in the pot, especially when only one has shown any indication that he doesn't have a nut hand.

In my own experience, its not rare that people play badly, but its very rare that people play badly by playing too aggressively.
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bigspenda73
Old 08-08-2009, 02:24 AM #29 (permalink)  
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after a lengthy discussion with both a man, dog, and a cat I was swayed that this is a bet not b/c of the called by worse, folding better argument but for protection sake.

We were trying to draw a line, TT a bet and JJ a check?
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Old 08-08-2009, 02:37 AM #30 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by bigspenda73
after a lengthy discussion with both a man, dog, and a cat I was swayed that this is a bet not b/c of the called by worse, folding better argument but for protection sake.

We were trying to draw a line, TT a bet and JJ a check?
I think we bet JJ-QQ as well. It's not just overcard sucks outs its also two pairs or trip suck outs from bottom pair, or gutshots hitting straights.
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Old 08-08-2009, 04:20 AM #31 (permalink)  
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if I'm OTB everyone folds middle pair because they're like holy shit button just called to set mine and hit his set
and original pfr folds like 90% of the time because his check signifies giving up on his hand

if I'm the PFR everyone calls because they're like "pfr just making standard cbet"
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