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AK in another 3bet pot.

  
 
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Pelion
Old 07-08-2007, 01:12 AM     Post subject: AK in another 3bet pot. #1 (permalink)  
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Pelion
I dont usually bluff in 3bet pots but this time felt right. Thoughts?

Hes 25/21 and thought for a long time before calling the turn bet.

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $65.04
CO: $66.68
Hero: $62.56
SB: $59.24
BB: $47.25

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with A K
2 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB raises to $7.5, Hero calls.

Flop: 3 Q Q ($15.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: T ($15.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls.

River: 7 ($29.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $20

Results:
Final pot: $69.25
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 07-08-2007, 01:15 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I have a feeling you have the same hand.
I felt pre though versus a lag like this assuming his stats say something about how much he threebets.
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 07-08-2007, 02:44 AM #3 (permalink)  
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By felt do you mean push? Sorry for the retardedness...
Flopping quads and boats like its my job
 
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Pelion
Old 07-08-2007, 03:23 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
I have a feeling you have the same hand.
I felt pre though versus a lag like this assuming his stats say something about how much he threebets.
I nearly did but his raise size made me think twice. With position I decided to give myself a chance to get away from it.

As played do you like the turn and river bets?
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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Pelion
Old 07-08-2007, 03:33 AM #5 (permalink)  
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ok I just realised something profound. In this hand I put him specifically on AK with a small chance of something good being either scared of the Q or something like AQ/QQ trying to trap.

I am betting $20 into a $30 pot so I have to be succesful 40% of the time to make a profit. I think he has AK or folds JJ (maybe AA/KK) 40% of the time after playing like this so I bet...


...Except...

If AK is the main hand I put him on then im not betting $20 to win $30. If I check behind then we split and I win $15 anyway so really Im risking $20 to win $15. Obviously thats much worse. I now have to be right 58% of the time.

I just realised this as I was thinking about the hand. Its something to think about in these kinds of situations.
gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
 
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ilikeaces86
Old 07-08-2007, 03:34 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 4 bet or shove pre is prbly best.
 
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