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Da GOAT
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01-16-2009, 12:37 PM
Post subject: AJ 100nl turn spot
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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Opp was a kinda bad player, high ish about 30% VPIP, 12 pfr, 3bet% was highish for him at about 9% over few hundred hands. His AF was about 35%.much
Opp hasnt done much at all from what Ive seen, not involved to much.
$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG jussila ($164.45)
CO Hero ($120.61)
BTN givmild ($605.97)
SB simen46 ($133.58)
BB jokkamin ($257.00)
Pre-flop: ($1.50, 5 players) Hero is CO  
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, 2 folds, jokkamin calls $2
Flop:    ($6.50, 2 players)
jokkamin checks, Hero bets $5, jokkamin raises to $15, Hero calls $10
Turn:  ($36.50, 2 players)
jokkamin bets $29, $29 to Hero ($102.61)?
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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minSim
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Deventer
Posts: 1,512
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why wouldn't you shove?
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GatorJH
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: HotLanta
Posts: 3,179
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by minSim
why wouldn't you shove?
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Because the number of hands that we are ahead of and will call a shove + the number of hands that are beating us but would fold to a shove is not a very big number.
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Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by GatorJH
Quote:
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Originally Posted by minSim
why wouldn't you shove?
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Because the number of hands that we are ahead of and will call a shove + the number of hands that are beating us but would fold to a shove is not a very big number. |
this doesn't matter quite as much here as draws are a huge part of his range. 1 draw got there, but the low end straight draw is less likely to raise this flop than KQ/FD's. i like a shove here too.
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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v diddy
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Join Date: May 2008
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 24
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This is a good example of a hand where in the past I would shove and lose to a set or an over pair.
I agree about the draws in his range. Curious to see what others think here.
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yourfather
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: In your fridge
Posts: 603
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Is it bad to call here and let him bluff the river when draws don't get there and call obv?
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al yell
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Flush
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 515
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in a tough spot like this one without history/reads on villain, the following factors come into play in my decision making..
1) time spent at the table. How much longer do I plan sit at this table?
2) my image and/or the image i want to build/portray
3) my tolerance for variance
4) am i feeling particularly vulnerable to tilt
ex. if it's early and i want to LAG it up (having determined it is a profitable approach given the table dynamics) sitting on a comfortable roll and feeling focused.. I shove (prepared to learn I won't always have the best hand), make a note and move on.
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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I shoved here, opp called with KQo
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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ATOTHEC101
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Full House
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,248
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Da GOAT
I shoved here, opp called with KQo
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Well played.
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