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AA on a double paired board: 100NL

  
 
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Galapogos
Old 02-13-2007, 06:00 AM     Post subject: AA on a double paired board: 100NL #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is a pretty basic TAG. Not very good and builds pots poorly when he has big hands. Haven't really seen him put to the test yet so I don't know if he over-values his hands. Got his stack from an early double up with a set against Nealejohn. I haven't been out of line yet. I've actually been on autopilot mostly, was paying more attention to High Stakes Poker on TV.

Texas Hold'em $1-$1 NL (Real Money), #1,868,969,749
Table Sooderstrom's HE, 13 Feb 2007 1:24 AM ET

Seat 2: chimchimdada ($82.90 in chips)
Seat 3: samma2 ($74.90 in chips)
Seat 6: nealejohn ($190.95 in chips)
Seat 7: kingofakind ($269.80 in chips)
Seat 9: Zramble ($29.20 in chips)
Seat 10: Galapogos [A,A] ($268.60 in chips)

ANTES/BLINDS
samma2 posts blind ($0.50), nealejohn posts blind ($1).

PRE-FLOP
kingofakind calls $1
, Zramble folds, Galapogos bets $5, chimchimdada folds, samma2 folds, nealejohn calls $4, kingofakind calls $4.

FLOP [board cards 7,4,7]
nealejohn checks, kingofakind bets $15, Galapogos calls $15, nealejohn folds.

TURN [board cards 7,4,7,T]
kingofakind bets $15, Galapogos calls $15.

RIVER [board cards 7,4,7,T,4]
kingofakind bets $30, Galapogos calls $30.

Should I have put in a value raise here? What if the 4 didn't show up on the river? I've been running really bad today and I think that may have affected my decision, or is a raise bad?


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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AHiltz
Old 02-13-2007, 01:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Limp call UTG could be any pocket pair, but if so (and he hit a set quads) why the hell would he bet so weakly on the turn? I smell JJ/99 here. You calling the flop makes it look like you hold a smaller pp or AK. I pop the turn to about 50.
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larsmars
Old 02-13-2007, 07:00 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AHiltz
Limp call UTG could be any pocket pair, but if so (and he hit a set quads) why the hell would he bet so weakly on the turn? I smell JJ/99 here. You calling the flop makes it look like you hold a smaller pp or AK. I pop the turn to about 50.
Doesn't raising the turn just fold out a lot of the hands you're beating?
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Galapogos
Old 02-13-2007, 07:25 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by larsmars
Quote:
Originally Posted by AHiltz
Limp call UTG could be any pocket pair, but if so (and he hit a set quads) why the hell would he bet so weakly on the turn? I smell JJ/99 here. You calling the flop makes it look like you hold a smaller pp or AK. I pop the turn to about 50.
Doesn't raising the turn just fold out a lot of the hands you're beating?
That's my thoughts. I want to know if I should have raised this river. With 100bbs stacks I would have gotten it all-in on the river. But for some reason that 4 scared me. I'm wondering if I should have put in a there?


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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AHiltz
Old 02-13-2007, 08:15 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by larsmars
Quote:
Originally Posted by AHiltz
Limp call UTG could be any pocket pair, but if so (and he hit a set quads) why the hell would he bet so weakly on the turn? I smell JJ/99 here. You calling the flop makes it look like you hold a smaller pp or AK. I pop the turn to about 50.
Doesn't raising the turn just fold out a lot of the hands you're beating?
Maybe. But aren't we trying to build some sort of pot here?
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larsmars
Old 02-13-2007, 10:36 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AHiltz
But aren't we trying to build some sort of pot here?
Not really. Trying to win the most when ahead and lose the least when behind. Given the reads i think we're basically folding out anything in villains range that we're beating by raising the turn, which leads to:
a) loss of a river bet when ahead
b) bigger pot when behind

River is interesting, because a (min?)raise will get looked up a lot. Given OP's read on villain and the deep stacks, i'd probably wuz out and just call. Anyway, i think a final pot of around 135bb seems much more sound than 500bb.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 02-13-2007, 10:38 PM #7 (permalink)  
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This is standard. You just can't fold versus those bets with KK-22 in this guys range.
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Galapogos
Old 02-13-2007, 10:51 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
This is standard. You just can't fold versus those bets with KK-22 in this guys range.
Folding never crossed my mind. I'm wondering if a river raise would be a good idea for those which larsmars has brought up.


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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zenbitz
Old 02-13-2007, 11:17 PM #9 (permalink)  
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I think hero's line is best. Weak turn bet = scared or monster - I don't see that a raise has much EV on turn. On river... he bets $30 into $70. Highly unlikely he has a 7 or 4 I think...although
Quote:
builds pots poorly when he has big hands.
might be enough to convince me to just call rather than raise.
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griffey24
Old 02-14-2007, 02:51 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Galapogos
Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
This is standard. You just can't fold versus those bets with KK-22 in this guys range.
Folding never crossed my mind. I'm wondering if a river raise would be a good idea for those which larsmars has brought up.
What do we do here, if villain pushes over our value raise?

A lot of times I toss the idea of raising out the window, if a push/re-raise will make me feel sick. I definitely don't wanna get pushed off a showdown here.
I could be losing a lot of value with this logic though.
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gabe
Old 02-14-2007, 03:33 PM #11 (permalink)  
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