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AA 3bet pot, scary turn 50NL

  
 
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
Old 11-03-2009, 10:35 PM     Post subject: AA 3bet pot, scary turn 50NL #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain is 30/15 fold to 3b: 33% over 168 hands. He likes to C/R a lotta flops in single raised pots. In one instance he C/R me and I 3bet bluffed him on a drawy board and he folded on the flop. His called 3bets PF and just gave up on the flop before (not to me). I'm taggish and pretty straight forward tho I have been 3betting quite a bit at this table only due to rush of cards.

I'm stumped on the turn. Should I B/F? If so, what should be my bet size?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) -

saw flop

Hero (BB) ($54.05)
UTG ($11.15)
MP ($71.75)
Button ($75.50)
SB ($56.60)

Preflop: Hero is BB with ,
1 fold, MP bets $1.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, MP calls $4

Flop: ($11.25) , , (2 players)
Hero bets $8.50, MP calls $8.50

Turn: ($28.25) (2 players)
Hero has $40.05 behind
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Marshall28
Old 11-03-2009, 10:40 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I'd check shove this turn. He likely bets everything that's worse than what you have for "protection" and will be committed to calling it off.

I would hate to bet like 15$ here, have him call and the river come an A/Q/9/spade and have to check fold w/ only 25$ behind. Particularly since you will only get one more street of value from QJ/QT/QQ anyways.

If he checks back turn and river bricks off, value bet.
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minSim
Old 11-04-2009, 06:53 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall28
I'd check shove this turn. He likely bets everything that's worse than what you have for "protection" and will be committed to calling it off.

I would hate to bet like 15$ here, have him call and the river come an A/Q/9/spade and have to check fold w/ only 25$ behind. Particularly since you will only get one more street of value from QJ/QT/QQ anyways.

If he checks back turn and river bricks off, value bet.
I really wonder if villain will bet as many worse hands as you think. Also checking behind and seeing a A/Q/9/spade sucks about as much as betting and seeing it. Betting at least let villain makes a mistake calling turn. Especially since I wouldn't expect villain to turn a made hand into a bluff on the river on this level.

imo it's too costly to let the turn go check check, so I'd bet. That would probably be a bet/call, but I think it's close to bet/fold.
I would much rather c/shove AsAx.
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mixchange
Old 11-04-2009, 06:52 PM #4 (permalink)  
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i like checking and then deciding what to do based on his bet sizing, vs the right player it could be a fold or c/s.
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