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A8o - Turned hand into bluff on river

  
 
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Sneds
Old 07-29-2009, 12:23 PM     Post subject: A8o - Turned hand into bluff on river #1 (permalink)  

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Hi guys, first post on here

Villian is a 23/18 over 1k hands

Fold SB to raise 86% - Fold to flop cbet 65%

I give him a pretty tight range postflop, by the river I haven't got many backdoor flush draws in his range, and I think he'd have to have TT or 55 to have a straight. River bet by him looks like a blocking bet to me also. Thoughts?

Also his WTSD is 19%

I wasn't allowed to post converted hand, as I need 10 posts before posting links/URLs. My apologies.

Stage #1558743809: Holdem No Limit $0.50 - 2009-07-29 13:00:40 (ET)
Table: SALINAS (Real Money) Seat #4 is the dealer
Seat 4 - DANNY1HOODY ($100.10 in chips)
Seat 5 - USOFA ($94 in chips)
Seat 6 - DALE4444 ($35.40 in chips)
Seat 1 - SURFERIC888 ($83.34 in chips)
Seat 2 - BLU3_CR0W ($35 in chips)
Seat 3 - NEPTUNE33 ($20 in chips)
USOFA - Posts small blind $0.25
DALE4444 - Posts big blind $0.50
NEPTUNE33 - sitout (wait for BB)
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to DANNY1HOODY [Ad 8s]
SURFERIC888 - Folds
BLU3_CR0W - Folds
DANNY1HOODY - Raises $1.50 to $1.50
USOFA - Calls $1.25
DALE4444 - Folds
*** FLOP *** [3h 7s 9d]
USOFA - Checks
DANNY1HOODY - Bets $2
USOFA - Calls $2
*** TURN *** [3h 7s 9d] [8h]
USOFA - Checks
DANNY1HOODY - Bets $4
USOFA - Calls $4
*** RIVER *** [3h 7s 9d 8h] [6h]
USOFA - Bets $10
DANNY1HOODY - Raises $29 to $29
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Luke999
Old 07-29-2009, 02:42 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Im not sure I like it. I doubt he ever gets to the river here with total air or overs like KJ etc

He could easily have a hand like 910 here and be hoping his river bet looks exactly what you think it is and will snap off a raise.
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minSim
Old 07-29-2009, 03:04 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Yeah, I doubt he's folding much. He rarely has air and this doesn't seem like a great spot for a blocking bet. What can he be blocking?

I think he has a straight or flush and snapcalls way too much for this to be good.
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griffey24
Old 07-29-2009, 03:09 PM #4 (permalink)  
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If he's donk leading on this board, after check calling twice, he's rarely rarely folding.

I'd rather bluff raise this as a bluff, if he had the initiative the entire time and bet flop/turn/river and then we jammed, as opposed to doing it over a donk lead.
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Marshall28
Old 07-29-2009, 03:15 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
If he's donk leading on this board, after check calling twice, he's rarely rarely folding.
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Sneds
Old 07-29-2009, 03:15 PM #6 (permalink)  

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Ok cool, thanks for the replies.

Personally, I can't imagine he has made the blocking bet to induce a raise. I guess I wanted to fold out sets/2pairs.
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Marshall28
Old 07-29-2009, 03:25 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I don't think he was inducing, he was probably afraid you'd check behind and he'd miss value.
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Luke999
Old 07-29-2009, 03:26 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I find at these stakes people make blocking bets but can't bring themselves to fold to a raise anyway.

I'd expect A9 or 910 hands to snap, and I think if he has a set he raises the turn on a drawy board.

Not to mention people often lead at these stakes to make up for missed value. (fish anyway)
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nutsinho
Old 07-30-2009, 02:05 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke999
I'd expect A9 to snap)
youd expect him to bluff and then call a raise?

OP this is a really bad spot to bluff, most of his donking range is Tx....
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