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9 high isn't good so i push

  
 
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gabe
Old 07-20-2006, 12:41 AM     Post subject: 9 high isn't good so i push #1 (permalink)  
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villian is TAG on a few of my tables, other than that no read.

is this good

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button ($678)
SB ($687.80)
BB ($407.25)
UTG ($288.51)
MP ($297)
Hero ($764.50)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 5, 9. SB posts a blind of $3.
2 folds, Hero raises to $20, Button calls $20, SB (poster) calls $17, 1 fold.

Flop: ($66) 8, K, 6 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $50, Button calls $50, SB folds.

Turn: ($166) J (2 players)
Hero bets $150, Button calls $150.

River: ($466) 3 (2 players)
button has $450 left, i have him coverd so i push....
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andr3w321
Old 07-20-2006, 01:34 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I don't think he's going anywhere. He probably calls this like 70% of the time. Being oop sucks. In position you might be able to tell if he's on some sort of draw but this really looks like a KJ/KQ type hand.
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benny999
Old 07-20-2006, 03:35 AM #3 (permalink)  
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You'd think a tag would raise a good hand like 2 pair+ at some point, especially the turn. So it prob means he's weak or on a draw, which means a river bluff could work a lot, but 50%? In my last thread you wrote that big river bets look like bluffs...so why not bet river like 1/2 or 2/3 pot?

Another possibility is he sees you as a maniac and called down to induce this. That turn bet does seem committing. Being oop definitely sucks. I'd wait for a better read/situation for 3 barrells but I'm more conservative. Do you find this works a lot of the time?
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jackvance
Old 07-20-2006, 03:49 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Not my cup of tea.. but maybe it's necessary at the higher stakes to ever get paid on real hands? I don't really see the merit on an individual basis.. he called two pot-sized bets.. turn and river were pretty much blanks.. why would he fold to a PSB now?
Sarcasm is your body's natural defense against stupidity
 
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r8ed
Old 07-20-2006, 05:18 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Nice read. I can't even see a set playing this way as they would have made a move on the turn at least. Looks like he has AQs or he feels he can use his position if you back off. Only a set or possibly KJ would call this - both those hands make their move on the turn.
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gabe
Old 07-20-2006, 06:53 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by r8ed
Only a set or possibly KJ would call this - both those hands make their move on the turn.
thats exactly what i was thinking.....if not the flop then def. by the turn
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WildBobAA
Old 07-20-2006, 06:54 AM #7 (permalink)  
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you're crazy, i'll never be able to play this high
 
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bdawg56kg
Old 07-20-2006, 07:27 AM #8 (permalink)  
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I like this. I'm assuming you haven't been getting out of line, right? What do you think about c/r ai on the turn?
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theDEEPdish
Old 07-20-2006, 08:13 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
I like this. I'm assuming you haven't been getting out of line, right? What do you think about c/r ai on the turn?

check raising on turn seems bad because of how often he checks behind if hes on a draw
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Irisheyes
Old 07-20-2006, 10:50 AM #10 (permalink)  
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If this was me I would fold KQ/AK.

I don't like c/r turn because of what deepdish said.
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gabe
Old 07-20-2006, 05:50 PM #11 (permalink)  
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so what hand that villian plays like this can he call with
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Trikflow77
Old 07-20-2006, 06:13 PM #12 (permalink)  
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I call u with top pair easy here....looks like a missed draw, i dont think i would try this vs. a good hand reader.
 
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theDEEPdish
Old 07-20-2006, 06:17 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
so what hand that villian plays like this can he call with

against you A high
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r8ed
Old 07-20-2006, 06:21 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Regardless of what he has it was played poorly unless he can read you like a book. A set, KJ, AK, QQ(?), AA may be able to call this.
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bdawg56kg
Old 07-20-2006, 11:13 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theDEEPdish
check raising on turn seems bad because of how often he checks behind if hes on a draw
First of all, why is it a bad thing if the turn goes check/check? We get a free look at the river to make our draw. Also, villian could very well be floating the flop (hero did open on co and villian called on button). Lastly, I think you are assuming that villian checks behind all draws here, which I don't think is true at all.

On a side note, I'm not sure if you guys are being sarastic or not, but I don't think gabe is nearly as LAG/maniac as you guys view him, which is exactly why he expects this river push to be +EV.
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gabe
Old 07-20-2006, 11:21 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
w. Also, villian could very well be floating the flop
if we think sometimes his plan was to float, betting seems better than checking
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bair
Old 07-21-2006, 12:07 AM #17 (permalink)  
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i like this, a lot. looks like you have exactly KJ
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andr3w321
Old 07-21-2006, 01:33 AM #18 (permalink)  
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So did he call w/ AQ and PWN U Gabe!!!???
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gabe
Old 07-21-2006, 04:23 AM #19 (permalink)  
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he had AA and ..uh.... trapped me?
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Trikflow77
Old 07-21-2006, 04:42 AM #20 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trikflow77
I call u with top pair easy here....looks like a missed draw, i dont think i would try this vs. a good hand reader.


obvvv he called.....if you put him on air or a weaker hand why not half pot it or so.....looking for max fold EQ?????
 
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gabe
Old 07-21-2006, 05:09 AM #21 (permalink)  
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lol....i dont see how you can say missed draw when i bet every street i could
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mcatdog
Old 07-21-2006, 06:07 PM #22 (permalink)  
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I think this is fine assuming that you have a set more often than not when you play a hand like this. If you get out of line too often, that's obviously exploitable by a decent TAG who knows how you play, and I think it's OK to occasionally just call someone down with a big hand on a draw-heavy board in order to rep the draw and induce a bluff from them when the draw misses.
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Miffed22001
Old 07-21-2006, 06:24 PM #23 (permalink)  
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i like how you played this. I love to see a one pair hand, esp something like AA or even KK if the flop was Qxx becasue it proves players will get it all in when we flop a monster hand here.

I still cant decide, even without the results whether i like how you played the river here. Tags dont call the turn with a draw here often do they?
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Trikflow77
Old 07-21-2006, 06:51 PM #24 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
lol....i dont see how you can say missed draw when i bad every street i could

lol i thought he was betting into u the whole time......
 
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Genitruc
Old 07-22-2006, 10:19 AM #25 (permalink)  
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kind of unrelated. but kind of relevant... not to the hand... but i m curious :

gabe what do you run at typically

or is this confidential information
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Genitruc
Old 07-22-2006, 10:21 AM #26 (permalink)  
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oh yeah.

if u know he has AA I like the way you played it if you will be sitting with him a lot. he will prob pay you off big.

or he is just a mediocre player who will always slowplay and never fold AA. why would he do this against you if u are an unknown. i don t understand.
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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gabe
Old 07-22-2006, 04:41 PM #27 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
kind of unrelated. but kind of relevant... not to the hand... but i m curious :

gabe what do you run at typically

or is this confidential information
depends on my mood

21/17 on weak passive tables, 18/13 on the other ones
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Genitruc
Old 07-22-2006, 06:33 PM #28 (permalink)  
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cool thx
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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