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600NL 55 gs on scary flop

  
 
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v2k
Old 10-27-2007, 04:59 AM     Post subject: 600NL 55 gs on scary flop #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Vancouver, BC
Posts: 19
v2k
this is the second time that villain has made a squeeze like play this session at this table, he could have a real hand here but it seemed like he could be squeeze happy too.

I call the 3 bet pf oop as I think I still have set value odds on average. Flop is pretty scary for a lot of hands so I think I have at least some fold equity here if I CR all in on the flop.

I figure his all in calling range is something like 77+ AJss+. I think its a tough call with 88-TT. Vs that range i have 25.5% equity and if he calls 100% of the time I need 31% equity. So I think i have 5.5% fold equity here at least, and if he is squeezing here at all I have a lot more on average.

Thoughts? Standard? Too high a variance play?

$3/$6 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Profiles and Stacks:
UTG ($695.50) 23.3/14.0/2.0 (43)
UTG+1 ($627.00) 19.4/14.9/3.0 (67)
Hero ($1178.60) 21.5/15.0/3.0 (200)
BTN ($670.00) 26.6/17.5/1.8 (143)
SB ($572.95) 29.8/18.6/3.2 (161)
BB ($1188.78) 46.7/13.7/2.4 (197)

Pre-flop: ($9, 6 players) Hero is CO
UTG raises to $22, 1 fold, Hero calls $22, BTN raises to $85, 2 folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $63

Flop: ($201, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $160, Hero goes all-in $1093.6 ...
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