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50nl Turned TTP facing c/r

  
 
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humanfugitive
Old 11-10-2009, 09:58 PM     Post subject: 50nl Turned TTP facing c/r #1 (permalink)  
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Villain 19/17/4.5 3bet 10 over 150 hands. I've never seen him over call OOP like this, which really makes me want to fold turn. Thoughts?
SB is running 60/10.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Hero (MP) ($68)
CO ($55.35)
Button ($64.90)
SB ($46.30)
BB ($64.95)
UTG ($62.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, Q
1 fold, Hero bets $2, 2 folds, SB calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($6) 4, Q, 6 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $4, 1 fold, BB calls $4

Turn: ($14) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB raises to $24

???
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Marshall28
Old 11-11-2009, 06:07 AM #2 (permalink)  
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He can't have A4s or A6s? He can't have the same hand as you? He can't have 56dd/67dd? I definitely wouldn't fold the turn. For sure call and make a decision on the river, I'm likely not folding the river either.
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humanfugitive
Old 11-11-2009, 06:51 AM #3 (permalink)  
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do you really think he over calls with a4/a6? In a previous hand, he also 4bet shoved my button 3bet with AQo (fish called).

From my read that he rarely flats, I would think he would squeeze those hands, along with AQ.

Board: 4d Qc 6s Ad
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.041% 45.04% 00.00% 218 0.00 { AhQd }
Hand 1: 54.959% 54.96% 00.00% 266 0.00 { 66, 44, A6s, A4s, 7d6d, 6d5d }


Board: 4d Qc 6s Ad
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.136% 26.14% 00.00% 92 0.00 { AhQd }
Hand 1: 73.864% 73.86% 00.00% 260 0.00 { 66, 44, 7d6d, 6d5d }

I guess if you can say he flats A4/A6 a call is fine. If not?

I called and he shoved on a 9c
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Marshall28
Old 11-11-2009, 08:07 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Only hands that beat you are 44 and 66... I just wouldn't fold.
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Da GOAT
Old 11-11-2009, 04:30 PM #5 (permalink)  
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66,44,AQs,A6s,A4s,64s,AQo

60/40 dog vs this range.

66,44,AQs,A6s,A4s,64s,AQo,A6o,A4o

60/40 fav vs this range.

Im calling turn anyway.
Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
 
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Silly String
Old 11-11-2009, 05:29 PM #6 (permalink)  
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God he's repping so thin. What is your image? Does he think he can push you off a hand? Would he try? If you think he could turn a 99ish hand into a bluff by repping the A then you have to call turn & let him continue on the river.
If not then I think it is a turn fold.
Let's face it his preflop flatting range is very tight(2%). Maybe a little looser on an overcall. Probably 4-5%. He squeezes AQ here and rarely if ever has Axs. I'd say his range is 99-22, QJs+, KJs, AJs.
After the flop his range is: 44, 66-99, KQs(discounted) & QJs
After the turn his range is: 44, 66, PP bluffs, QdJd, KdQd
Pokerstove says roughly 50/50 with that range and that includes a few bluffs with equity, but no air.
I can see a turn FOLD. I don't think I can do it during the game flop and you image better be squeaky clean. If you get out of line at all this is a call.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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humanfugitive
Old 11-12-2009, 03:31 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Right, he is repping thin, its likely call>fold>>>>3bet.

river is blank 9 club. he shoves...

what if river is 9d or 8c and he does the same?

on what rivers are you b/f for value?
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