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50NL - Pair + Straight & Flush Draws Against Station OOP

  
 
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BooG690
Old 10-27-2009, 07:31 PM     Post subject: 50NL - Pair + Straight & Flush Draws Against Station OOP #1 (permalink)  
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 BU is a 26/18 stationy/passive player. His 3bet% is 9.4 in 32 opportunities. In one hand with villain, he 3bet my HJ raise from the CO with KJdd then cbet/called a shove on 7c9dTc board. In another hand, he called a 2/3pot flop bet and a +1/2pot turn bet with 33 IP on 624Jr a board.

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BB ($12.60)
UTG ($151.35)
MP ($57.20)
Hero (CO) ($50)
Button ($105.30)
SB ($16.55)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 9
UTG bets $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, Button calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($6.75) 7, 3, 6 (3 players)
UTG bets $4, Hero raises to $14, Button calls $14, 1 fold

Turn: ($38.75) 9 (2 players)
Hero ($34) ?

Turn
With my nine pairing, is it better for me to check/call or is a shove here OK?

With villain calling so much and given the board texture, the shove would be more for value/protection. The only hands I'm getting value from are 88 and flush draws (if he calls with his flush draws).

However, with villain being passive, I cannot count on him shoving anything besides his sets. Against sets, I have 31.818% equity and need 31.85% equity to call. However, since villain may also shove JJ-TT, we will say a call is slightly +EV.

Theoretically, what is our move here?

That's how winners play; we convince the other guy he's making all the right moves.
 
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OP
Old 10-27-2009, 08:08 PM     Post subject: Re: 50NL - Pair + Straight & Flush Draws Against Station #2 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BooG690
he 3bet my HJ raise from the CO with KJdd then cbet/called a shove on 7c9dTc board. In another hand, he called a 2/3pot flop bet and a +1/2pot turn bet with 33 IP on 624Jr a board.
This makes me want to jam
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bigspenda73
Old 10-27-2009, 08:10 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 you just suxxored out, I'd jam
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meeloche
Old 10-27-2009, 09:30 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Yeah jam for sure. He's never folding 7x probably not even a hand like 56 etc.



 
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ATOTHEC101
Old 10-28-2009, 08:18 AM #5 (permalink)  
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def jam, you now have the best hand alot, don't want to let him draw for free.
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Silly String
Old 10-28-2009, 07:00 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Look at all that money in the pot. Look at your equity. Ja-ja-ja-JAM!
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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nutsinho
Old 11-02-2009, 02:20 AM #7 (permalink)  
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 he probably folds 88ish hands to a pot sized jam. u need to maximize the amount you win from a hand that has almost no equity. bet/call for 12-15$
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