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nogenius
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12-24-2006, 08:14 PM
Post subject: 50NL JJ facing pot river bet
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 772
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
SB ($78.15)
BB ($64)
UTG ($25.65)
Hero ($52.25)
CO ($33.50)
Button ($65.10)
Preflop: Hero is MP with J , J .
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 1 fold, Button calls $1.75, 2 folds.
Flop: ($4.25) T , 3, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.5, Button calls $3.50.
Turn: ($11.25) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, Button calls $7.
River: ($25.25) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $24, Hero ???
---
Villian is about 65/19/0.6 over 35 hands.
Do you make the river call, and what's your reasoning?
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Harry
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Philly
Posts: 722
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Fold imo due to the lack of draws.... might want to blocking bet the river tho.
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PSU Class of 2011 weeeeeeee!
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kmind
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Not Giving In
Posts: 4,240
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I'd do a blocking bet hoping AT or KT calls
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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LOL easy call.
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benny999
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 1,567
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I'd block bet too. as played I agree with iowaskins...
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gabe
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: trying to live
Posts: 7,964
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why didnt you bet river, this guy sucks
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freechus9
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
Posts: 1,000
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Why is this such an easy call? Opp is clearly super passive, so wouldn't the river bet signal strength?
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My sig is too much for you to handle.
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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villan was 65/20 over 35 hands, which can relatively well tell the guy sucks. I KNOW the sample size is small, but even with the huge margin of error the low end still wouldn't be good. AND even then he probably raises the turn with a 3.
Also, with the fact that he is playing hard when he played so passive on earlier streets tells me he's weak since the river couldn't have nutted him without 99.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,336
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Why are we checking the river to this guy? What are we putting him on and what sorts of hands is he going to bet? Check behind?
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UG
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,855
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With our villian's line I don't think you'll see TT/99/QQ+/x3 here hardly ever. We're ahead, bet the river.
Sometimes, though, against truly terrible players "that sense weakness with position and pound you because that's what they think they're supposed to do" this is a pretty good play. You're essentially checking to induce a bet. After 30 hands with villian I don't think we can have a read on him like that, yet, but this is an easy call regardless.
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Genitruc
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,463
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I call and expect him to flip over top pair a whole lot here
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when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
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