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50NL - He Wakes Up On Blank Turn

  
 
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kmind
Old 06-19-2009, 08:31 PM     Post subject: 50NL - He Wakes Up On Blank Turn #1 (permalink)  
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Button is playing 30/24/4.8 over 105 hands and has fold to 3bet% at 33%. Flop I think he can have like a random PP trying to float/AQ/KQ/QJ/AcJc/T9/random clubs?. Therefore I think I am crushing his range and elect to b/c


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Hero (SB) ($50)
BB ($99.65)
UTG ($66)
MP ($50)
Button ($91.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
2 folds, Button bets $1.50, Hero raises to $5, 1 fold, Button calls $3.50

Flop: ($10.50) Q, 2, J (2 players)
Hero bets $6, Button calls $6

Turn: ($22.50) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $12, Button raises to $80.50 (All-In), Hero calls $27 (All-In)
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Old 06-19-2009, 08:32 PM #2 (permalink)  
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so did he have queens or jacks?
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kmind
Old 06-19-2009, 08:39 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Neither, now post stuff that makes sense
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FateAver
Old 06-19-2009, 08:40 PM #4 (permalink)  
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He has 44? or maybe 2 pairs?
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Old 06-19-2009, 08:41 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by kmind
Neither, now post stuff that makes sense
that hurts my feelings
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kmind
Old 06-19-2009, 08:42 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Ok sorry, now stop derailing my thread
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Old 06-19-2009, 08:55 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Mega standarddd

Drawy flop, on which he'll raise QQQ,JJJ and QJ fairly often.

Once he flats, already his range is much weaker. This turn isn't really a spot to b/f on that particular card.

If you had bet a bit bigger, I'd say in my experience that most people when faced with this turn bet would ask themselves if they are ahead or not... shove if yes and fold if not. People prob won't call that often when it leaves like a 1/3rd pot left on river. Especially on such a drawy board with two FD's and straight draws.
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Old 06-19-2009, 08:55 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I don't like your bet sizing, I usually just make it bigger since its so drawy and he's likely to continue with a lot of hands .. maybe 9$ on flop and shove the turn
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kmind
Old 06-19-2009, 08:59 PM #9 (permalink)  
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I guess I just bet lower in 3bet pots in general since I think people's ranges are polarized often as in nut hands or shit they can't continue with. Maybe I should hand read better and realize there are spots where they have a lot more shit than what makes up a polarized range.
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Warpe
Old 06-19-2009, 09:12 PM #10 (permalink)  
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What Alexos said, esp on FTP.
 
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Old 06-19-2009, 09:14 PM #11 (permalink)  
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And in general I do agree with you, id half pot maybe 90% of boards in 3bet pots. This is one of those 10% that I'd rather near pot though. Also because stacks are awkward to three barrel with, so id rather pot and then shove turn.
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Old 06-20-2009, 12:10 AM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
I don't like your bet sizing, I usually just make it bigger since its so drawy and he's likely to continue with a lot of hands .. maybe 9$ on flop and shove the turn
If he raises the flop with a fd, which many do, it's not so drawy. I think the texture of the board is slightly, if not greatly, misleading.

Standard hand, wp.
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The Izebox
Old 06-20-2009, 01:18 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
I don't like your bet sizing, I usually just make it bigger since its so drawy and he's likely to continue with a lot of hands .. maybe 9$ on flop and shove the turn
If he raises the flop with a fd, which many do, it's not so drawy. I think the texture of the board is slightly, if not greatly, misleading.

Standard hand, wp.
For 27 more into 50 Id call. Your bets look weak, he may put you on TP or even AK.
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Fnord
Old 06-20-2009, 11:22 AM #14 (permalink)  
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KK/AQ fit, moreso than QQ/JJ that don't mind getting it in against super-draws as much. Then again it's a heads-up 3-bet pot so meh...
 
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