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freechus9
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06-30-2008, 11:02 PM
Post subject: 50NL Betsizing for rivered top 2
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
Posts: 1,000
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Villain is tight-passive, running about 25/0/3.5 after 30 hands or so. It seems like the J helped him somehow, giving him a worse 2 pair or a set. What's my raise?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
MP ($39.05)
CO ($43.85)
Button ($51.95)
Hero ($52)
BB ($80.45)
UTG ($70.10)
Preflop: Hero is SB with K , J .
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: ($2) 2 , K , 6 (4 players)
Hero bets $2, BB folds, MP calls $2, CO folds.
Turn: ($6) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $2, Hero calls $2.
River: ($10) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $10.5
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pankfish
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Flush
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: On Tony Romo's nuts
Posts: 385
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Only two pair that river gave him is jj22.
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freechus9
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: IN UR BOX HAXXING UR FILEZ
Posts: 1,000
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by pankfish
Only two pair that river gave him is jj22.
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J6 also, though I doubt this would be here.
But how much do I raise? Or just I just call?
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My sig is too much for you to handle.
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pankfish
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Flush
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: On Tony Romo's nuts
Posts: 385
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I don't think you can put J6 in his range here unless you've seen that he is playing any two suited cards. 66 and KJ is about all he is realistically representing here. He probably plays A2s but I don't know how often he is calling on the flop with it.
I think you are ahead most of the time but behind anything that is calling a raise. Maybe he'll puke call a min-raise with a king or a decent jack if he was floating with like A J or something. JJ is discounted even with his stats we can't put a hand like JJ in his range after 30 hands unless he has shown that he is limping with hands as strong.
Your hand looks weaker than it is so he is probably just taking a shot in the dark on the river. I think calling is the best play.
I don't like the complete here at all though. Playing KJos in a hand that is going to be 4 way on the flop has pretty bad reverse implied odds. I would probably bump it up to $2.50 and play with the initiative.
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<Staxalax> I want everyone to put my quote in their sigs
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Deanglow
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,440
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Betting that river yourself is so much better than check-raising it.
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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i think that you should just call for sure
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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minSim
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Deventer
Posts: 1,512
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Betting river is better, but as played call.
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