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50NL Betsizing for rivered top 2

  
 
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freechus9
Old 06-30-2008, 10:02 PM     Post subject: 50NL Betsizing for rivered top 2 #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is tight-passive, running about 25/0/3.5 after 30 hands or so. It seems like the J helped him somehow, giving him a worse 2 pair or a set. What's my raise?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP ($39.05)
CO ($43.85)
Button ($51.95)
Hero ($52)
BB ($80.45)
UTG ($70.10)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, J.
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($2) 2, K, 6 (4 players)
Hero bets $2, BB folds, MP calls $2, CO folds.

Turn: ($6) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $2, Hero calls $2.

River: ($10) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $10.5
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pankfish
Old 06-30-2008, 10:10 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Only two pair that river gave him is jj22.
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freechus9
Old 06-30-2008, 10:32 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pankfish
Only two pair that river gave him is jj22.
J6 also, though I doubt this would be here.

But how much do I raise? Or just I just call?
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pankfish
Old 06-30-2008, 11:05 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I don't think you can put J6 in his range here unless you've seen that he is playing any two suited cards. 66 and KJ is about all he is realistically representing here. He probably plays A2s but I don't know how often he is calling on the flop with it.

I think you are ahead most of the time but behind anything that is calling a raise. Maybe he'll puke call a min-raise with a king or a decent jack if he was floating with like A J or something. JJ is discounted even with his stats we can't put a hand like JJ in his range after 30 hands unless he has shown that he is limping with hands as strong.

Your hand looks weaker than it is so he is probably just taking a shot in the dark on the river. I think calling is the best play.


I don't like the complete here at all though. Playing KJos in a hand that is going to be 4 way on the flop has pretty bad reverse implied odds. I would probably bump it up to $2.50 and play with the initiative.
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Deanglow
Old 07-01-2008, 02:45 AM #5 (permalink)  
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 Betting that river yourself is so much better than check-raising it.
 
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nutsinho
Old 07-01-2008, 02:49 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 i think that you should just call for sure
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minSim
Old 07-01-2008, 08:05 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Betting river is better, but as played call.
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