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50NL: 2 pairs on the flop against LAG

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 08-09-2007, 07:43 AM     Post subject: 50NL: 2 pairs on the flop against LAG #1 (permalink)  
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Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB ($31.23)
BB ($89.02)
UTG ($21.80)
MP ($26.73)
CO ($50.00)
Hero ($56.40)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8[], 9[].
3 folds, Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($4.25) 8[], 9[], 5[] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.15, BB calls $3.15.

Turn: ($10.55) K[] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB raises to $20, Hero calls $13.

River: ($50.55) 4[] (2 players)
BB bets $50.55, Hero ????

villain was 59/27/3. He had been stealing my blinds very often. Once I tried to fight back (i.e. 3bet PF and bet flop), but he seemed to have something. The only hand I'm afraid on the turn is 55, however, I think that with top 2 pairs on flop and after the K I should take the risk of stacking off to 55, while he could have hands like KQ/KJ/AK/TJ even K8 or K9 or a diamond flush.
Would you call river?
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Fnord
Old 08-09-2007, 08:38 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Shove turn. Don't make a habbit of picking on LAgg's blinds with crap hands.
 
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snowbird4life
Old 08-09-2007, 08:44 AM #3 (permalink)  
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As played, I call the river. You can't just assume a set of 5's here, especially when you flop top two vs a maniac who runs 59/27/3. If he shows you a flopped str8/higher two pair/set meh and reload. His river bet is scary because it seems like he loves his hand (flopped straight) :S, but i don't know how you can fold this against this villain. I probably even shove over his turn bet.

EDIT: Also what fnord said, when you have a player or two to your left with a vpip of 50 and above, don't pick on their blinds with marginal hands.
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Ravageur
Old 08-09-2007, 08:49 AM #4 (permalink)  
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i don't think you can fold here though you only beat a bluff (unless this lag overplays top pair) . I feel like i keep repeating what fnord says, but I think you should fold turn or shove turn with the draw heavy board and only 100bbs deep.
Family Cruise IMO
 
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Thee One
Old 08-09-2007, 11:31 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Odds are too good to fold but I like the turn shove as well.
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