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3bet pot flop float

  
 
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Irisheyes
Old 03-19-2010, 11:15 AM     Post subject: 3bet pot flop float #1 (permalink)  
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Villain 3bets probably 9-10% from this position vs me. Is aggressive and decent. No history though.

Anybody any thoughts on this?

No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button ($277.59)
SB ($327.80)
BB ($272.40)
UTG ($128.55)
Hero (MP) ($200)
CO ($45.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K, Q
1 fold, Hero bets $6, 2 folds, SB raises $19, 1 fold, Hero calls $14

Flop: ($42) 8, 4, 2 (2 players)
SB bets $28, Hero calls $28
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pocketfours
Old 03-19-2010, 01:05 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I would never fold here.
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RugbyDonk
Old 03-19-2010, 02:08 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Board: 4d 2s 8c
Dead:

equity
Hand 0: 30.587% { KdQd }
Hand 1: 69.413% { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo }

Thats if his 10% range is balanced... same equity its if its polarized too

equity
Hand 0: 30.046% { KdQd }
Hand 1: 69.954% { TT+, 66-22, AQs+, KQs, J9s, T8s, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, AKo }


If you float to make him fold on the turn then what better hands are you folding?
AJ+, maybe 99-TT but he likely calls a turn bet with those. If he's polarized then your not folding much better at all.
Your call becomes more for pot odds then anything else. so if you hit a K or Q you gotta be ready to get it in which is not too appealing
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minSim
Old 03-19-2010, 02:41 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Rugby, I think those ranges aren't very practical.
I would use something like: JJ+,AJs+,A3s-A2s,KQs,97s,86s+,75s+,64s+,54s,AJo+,KQo for 9,7%.

But that difference in ranges doesn't matter that much actually, what does is not going with bare pot equity here as all the Ax hands in villains range give him a ton of equity.

With the range above, villain has A high or K high well over 50%, so as long as he isn't super aggressive on non A/K/Q turns, we can take the pot away on the turn a large % of the time.
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 03-19-2010, 02:49 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I'd raise the flop instead of call.
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Alexos
Old 03-19-2010, 04:49 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan View Post
I'd raise the flop instead of call.
I prefer a call to a raise, IP.

OOP, I'm c/r this flop 95% of the time with this hand.
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humanfugitive
Old 03-19-2010, 05:11 PM #7 (permalink)  
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if your raise is flatted are you checking behind IP and c/f oop on non AKQ turns?
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Da GOAT
Old 03-19-2010, 09:54 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I think calling IP is fine tho you can raise, my leak here would be the turn since if i fold i feel like im burning money.
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tstrout
Old 03-22-2010, 05:51 PM #9 (permalink)  
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If you call, you're only doing so to make a king high bluff on the turn. Only card you can actually like (besides a diamond) is a queen, not a king based on the 3-bet preflop. You are taking a huge risk floating here. Anyone familiar with floating knows how to counteract it. You're going to get double barreled on the turn (or check-raised if it was me), and be forced to fold. Obviously you don't hold a premium hand based upon how you played pre-flop, and your opponent knows it. If he actually 3-bet with the goods (or even a weird speculative hand) you're dead meat. So give up your 19 and move on. Poker is not about winning pots, it's about winning money. This pot is over.
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Luke999
Old 03-22-2010, 06:52 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tstrout View Post
If you call, you're only doing so to make a king high bluff on the turn. Only card you can actually like (besides a diamond) is a queen, not a king based on the 3-bet preflop. You are taking a huge risk floating here. Anyone familiar with floating knows how to counteract it. You're going to get double barreled on the turn (or check-raised if it was me), and be forced to fold. Obviously you don't hold a premium hand based upon how you played pre-flop, and your opponent knows it. If he actually 3-bet with the goods (or even a weird speculative hand) you're dead meat. So give up your 19 and move on. Poker is not about winning pots, it's about winning money. This pot is over.
This.
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pantherhound
Old 03-22-2010, 08:28 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tstrout View Post
If you call, you're only doing so to make a king high bluff on the turn. Only card you can actually like (besides a diamond) is a queen, not a king based on the 3-bet preflop. You are taking a huge risk floating here. Anyone familiar with floating knows how to counteract it. You're going to get double barreled on the turn (or check-raised if it was me), and be forced to fold. Obviously you don't hold a premium hand based upon how you played pre-flop, and your opponent knows it. If he actually 3-bet with the goods (or even a weird speculative hand) you're dead meat. So give up your 19 and move on. Poker is not about winning pots, it's about winning money. This pot is over.
Brutal post! I hope y'all are taking notes...
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donkbee
Old 03-22-2010, 08:40 PM #12 (permalink)  
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If we're raising the flop, what would be a good amount?



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Ravageur
Old 03-23-2010, 01:57 AM #13 (permalink)  
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A king turn is a great card for us because villain will rep it and it's not a scare card for him vs our perceived range. We can happily shove any K/Q/diamond on the turn as well as potentially get him to make some big river folds when the board runs out ugly. I prefer calling to raising...just seems like it allows us to fold and lose less if he barrels the turn big on a bad card for us (Ace, board pairing card etc) and it also seems more credible to me. If I raise here I expect to induce shoves from stuff like suited rag aces and overpairs so i'm usually only doing it for value on this kind of board.
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 03-24-2010, 04:42 PM #14 (permalink)  
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I default fold this pre... i thought that was the norm? 9% with a small sample means shit to me.
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Da GOAT
Old 03-24-2010, 06:12 PM #15 (permalink)  
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i think its an okay as long as there is history to call here pre. seems to me he 3bet hero 9-10% in blinds vs MP.
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Irisheyes
Old 03-24-2010, 08:07 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Numbr2intheWorld View Post
I default fold this pre... i thought that was the norm? 9% with a small sample means shit to me.
If you fold KQs what do you call with? Assume he's really 3betting 9%.
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nutsinho
Old 03-24-2010, 08:23 PM #17 (permalink)  
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fold KQs pre wat?
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