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3/6 - set raised on backdoor flush river

  
 
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zook
Old 12-14-2008, 07:16 PM     Post subject: 3/6 - set raised on backdoor flush river #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is a solid, winning reg, one of the better players at this level imo, plays a lot of 5/10 as well. Stats are 25/16/2.2. He's capable of making moves, but might think I'm a bit stationy.

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saw flop

SB ($600)
BB ($600)
UTG ($640.90)
Hero (MP) ($621)
CO ($899)
Button ($1334.50)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9, 9
1 fold, Hero raises to $21, 1 fold, Button calls $21, 2 folds

Flop: ($51) A, 2, J (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

Turn: ($51) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $42, Button calls $42

River: ($135) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $110, Button raises to $1271.50 (All-In), Hero... ($448 to call)
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Galapogos
Old 12-14-2008, 07:27 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Galapogos is just really niceGalapogos is just really niceGalapogos is just really niceGalapogos is just really niceGalapogos is just really nice
 There's so few hands he can be doing this for value that got there that this spot almost seems too awful to bluff. If he's good he knows this obviously, that coupled with the fact he might think you're stationy and therefore capable of calling a weird yet strong line I think I fold.

But I fear flushes because I'm a fish.


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I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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nutsinho
Old 12-14-2008, 08:27 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 i would fold confidently
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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nutsinho
Old 12-14-2008, 08:29 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 and then somehow my opponent would show me a bluff
My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
 
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Toadstool
Old 12-15-2008, 01:55 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Yeah i'd fold, you only beat a bluff, and with the line you've taken surely you can have a flush here a good % of the time, which makes it a pretty bad spot for him to bluff here.
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Luke999
Old 12-15-2008, 03:15 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I'd fold too, I doubt he is ever playing a set (2's) like this which is the only hand apart from a bluff I can think of that we beat.

My guess he picked up a FD on the turn or even an open ender with Q10suited.
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