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grnydrowave2
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06-26-2008, 07:29 AM
Post subject: 25nl - bluff or value?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Showin' mah Pokemans
Posts: 651
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Villain is 69/46/4.7. No reads.
$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Stacks:
UTG $18.15
Villain $13.15
MP1 $4.65
MP2 $26.65
MP3 $23.35
CO $43.40
Hero $28.90
SB $24.75
BB $17.65
Pre-flop: ($0.35, 9 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, Villain calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Villain raises to $2.75, MP3 folds, Hero calls $1.25
Flop: ($6.10, 2 players)
Villain bets $0.75, Hero shoves.
1) What is villain's calling range?
2) Is our shove a value bet or a bluff?
3) Suppose we take the following line instead:
Flop: ($6.10, 2 players)
Villain bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75
Turn: ($7.60, 2 players)
Villain bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75
River: ($9.10, 2 players)
Villain bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50
Is this better or worse? Please state your reasoning, or suggest an alternative play if you are so inclined. I'm aware that preflop may be questionable, but I'm more interested in postflop.
Thanks.
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<SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
<SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
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Galapogos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: The Loser's Lounge
Posts: 2,323
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Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.
I also 4-bet pre against him. I know you don't care about pre but it sets you up for one hell of an easy post flop.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
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grnydrowave2
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Showin' mah Pokemans
Posts: 651
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Galapogos
Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.
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That sounds like a contradictory statement. At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
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<SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
<SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
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JL
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,095
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
Villain is 69/46/4.7
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Villain is not folding a ton of hands here:
Any pair, FDs etc...
If he's the type of 64/46 that I am used to, then he is also calling here with gutshots, any Ace, and sometimes two over cards like KQ if he's super donkish postflop.
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Deanglow
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,443
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Man against this guy shoving preflop is never bad here
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Galapogos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: The Loser's Lounge
Posts: 2,323
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by grnydrowave2
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Galapogos
Why not raise smaller on the flop and entice him to call? Your hand's not a bluff when you do this but you do a good job of enticing him not to call you.
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That sounds like a contradictory statement. At any rate, if you do this, what part of his range is he not folding?
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Sorry, I meant your push convinces him not to call, not the small bet. And I used the word entice too much.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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full ring forum? def raise the flop to like $5.
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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grnydrowave2
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Showin' mah Pokemans
Posts: 651
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bode
full ring forum? def raise the flop to like $5.
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Oops, sorry. I'm used to posting in this forum, as I don't play full ring.
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<SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
<SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
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griffey24
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Toronto'ish
Posts: 4,611
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You really need reads to do this for value. Some kind of reads that he'd stack off with overs or something like that.
Otherwise, I think I'd much prefer the call down line or some kind of donkish small raise on the flop to induce him to shove over with worse over cards like AK/all draws etc etc.
As played, even a donk might find a fold with overcards facing a shove here.
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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preflop is key, im allin vs him. hate the call.
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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grnydrowave2
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Showin' mah Pokemans
Posts: 651
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For the sake of argument, let's pretend that the call preflop was a misclick.
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<SrslySirius> Hal Lubarsky, my nemesis.
<SaltLick> are you seriously losing to a blind guy
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swiggidy
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Waiting in the shadows ...
Posts: 3,777
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does anyone care that it's an UTG+1, limp/re-raise?
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(\__/)
(='.'=)
(")_(")
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by swiggidy
does anyone care that it's an UTG+1, limp/re-raise?
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well theres no may that villian is positionally aware so no.
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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GatorJH
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: HotLanta
Posts: 3,179
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so what % of time does a villain with these stats limp/re-raise with a big hand?
Also, wouldn't someone with these stats bet bigger on the flop and/or turn if he wanted us to fold?
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Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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Villains a moron, likely this is a small pair.
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Just playing to improve.
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will641
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: getting my swell on
Posts: 1,610
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i think jamming pre is more ideal here, because more often than not an over card hits the flop and makes life difficult on us. and this guy will probably call like 44+, Ax, 98+, etc.
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Cash Rules Everything Around Me.
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will641
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: getting my swell on
Posts: 1,610
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as played though i raise to like $5.5 and get it in on any turn.
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Cash Rules Everything Around Me.
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