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200NL: set, drawy board, kinda deep

  
 
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d0zer
Old 10-27-2009, 11:32 PM     Post subject: 200NL: set, drawy board, kinda deep #1 (permalink)  
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27/21/2 10% 3b over 300. no relevant history other than I 3b him once IP and he folded.

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Luckymug76 ($225.65)
CO ZMQLD ($357.50)
BTN Hero ($368.55)
SB shamboogoo12 ($74.25)
BB Vitals ($39.10)

Pre-Flop: ($3, 5 players) Hero is BTN
1 fold, ZMQLD raises to $8, Hero calls $8, 2 folds

Flop: ($19, 2 players)
ZMQLD bets $12, Hero raises to $34, ZMQLD calls $22

Turn: ($87, 2 players)
ZMQLD bets $50, $50 to Hero ($326.55)?


Flop raise should have been more like 42? As played what's the plan? It seems like the A is kind of a shitty card for any hand other than AK or QT. I'm kind of lost on his range when he takes this line...is he firing Adxd into me on the turn or what?

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ATOTHEC101
Old 10-28-2009, 08:09 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I orginally said just flat but I was def wrong, I very much doubt he'd donk q10 or aa on the turn, he'd go for a c/r the vast majority of the time. Plus if he does have a draw you don't want him to see a free card plus I doubt he folds ak to a raise. Having kj in this spot would be alot more interesting and I feel it would definitely be a call in that scenario.
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bikes
Old 10-28-2009, 05:03 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Call here and shove any non diamond river.
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griffey24
Old 10-28-2009, 05:14 PM #4 (permalink)  
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I would raise this turn bet. His sizing doesn't have me too afraid, and I feel like he has a lot of hands that might not give up (AK,AJ, Axdd), and the river can bring a ton of bad cards (diamond, Q, T action killers) and an A/K or J even aren't ideal really.

Sizing is hard to say, depends on villain really. If he's jam happy, might even raise to 130ish or something.
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bode
Old 10-28-2009, 05:35 PM #5 (permalink)  
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like griffey said there are too many scare cards that the river can bring for a call here. idk about raise size because anything we raise leaves us with a gay amount on the river.
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meeloche
Old 10-28-2009, 08:27 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I'd make it 111 on the turn and jam the river. There is just no reason for him take this line with something that you beat.
 
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Silly String
Old 10-28-2009, 09:29 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Why raise the turn so little? I realize a normal raise leaves awkward stacks on the riv, but why give him 4 or 5:1 with the flush draws and gutters available. I would also raise flop bigger.
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