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200nl float turned river bluff

  
 
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EzDuzIt
Old 02-04-2008, 09:26 PM     Post subject: 200nl float turned river bluff #1 (permalink)  
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villain is clowntable who i have at 18/15/5.5 and probably views me as around 20/17/5

i think he double barrels here a lot thinking im just floating with a pp or w/e.
so then when river comes a Q I try to get AQ, QJ, JJ kind of hands to fold. thoughts on all streets?

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $291.50
BB: $191.05
UTG: $218.80
MP: $357.80
Hero (CO): $304.85
BTN: $207

Pre-Flop: T 9 dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG raises to $8, MP folds, Hero calls $8, 3 folds

Flop: ($19) K 9 2 (2 Players)
UTG bets $15, Hero calls $15

Turn: ($49) 8 (2 Players)
UTG bets $34, Hero calls $34

River: ($117) Q (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $100
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Andypandy
Old 02-04-2008, 10:37 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I don't like it. I¨f i was villain i would have played top pair/or better like him and checkcalled a non-spade river. Maybe even called on river with queens or jacks too. If he has that 20/17/5 stat on u he knows ur almost never coldcalls with a K or Q, and u prob. would have raise flop with a set and that aggr. factor. Only hand ur repping is a J10-float imo. I think he calls u quite light here.
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will641
Old 02-04-2008, 10:57 PM #3 (permalink)  
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yeah i agree with andy about calling you light. this looks a lot like a missed FD bluff to me. although i dont think he calls you with anything worse than TP, and he might call with a AQ hand, but doubtful.
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EzDuzIt
Old 02-04-2008, 11:28 PM #4 (permalink)  
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hes going to expect me to be aggressive with a flush draw. im sure he figures i might have a missed fd occasionally but probably assumes i would raise with it. i could have just called pre with KQ/KJ kind of hand since he was utg. with top pair im sure he is c/cing here but anything other than that which is a lot of his range is going to have a very hard time calling this i think.
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bjsaust
Old 02-05-2008, 12:55 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I think he checked river so that you would do just this.
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