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200nl facing a river raise with TP

  
 
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 09-15-2008, 06:28 AM     Post subject: 200nl facing a river raise with TP #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is bigbobm11. I have 2.2k hands on him where he is running 19/16/3.34 He had a 14 4bet % and a 10% call 3 bet %. I originally put him on a pair like TT or JJ but I have seen nothing to make me think he turns a hand like this into a bluff.


Hand #8078647268 begins at 2008/09/14
Dealing down cards
Dealt to hero [Ah Qd]
hero posts the small blind of $1
nickyballz posts the big blind of $2
bigbobm11 raises to $7.
FullTiltMode folds.
hero raises to $26.
nickyballz folds.
bigbobm11 calls $19.
Dealing Flop [8c 5h 9c]
hero checks.
bigbobm11 checks.
Dealing Turn [As]
hero bets $38.
bigbobm11 calls $38.
Dealing River [5s]
hero bets $48.
bigbobm11 raises to $160.


*edit* pt3 screws up when spitting out hand histories and duplicates the turn card on the river. The river isnt the As as originally posted it was the 5s.
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 09-15-2008, 06:33 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 i don't like the reraise pre.

He probably has AK or 76cc, either way i don't think you're winning.
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 09-15-2008, 06:36 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Massimo
i don't like the reraise pre.

He probably has AK or 76cc, either way i don't think you're winning.
Hes in the CO pf.
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Genitruc
Old 09-15-2008, 07:13 AM #4 (permalink)  
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 i wouldn t bet this small on riv unless it was to snap off a raise from an aggro opponent
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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minSim
Old 09-15-2008, 07:42 AM     Post subject: Re: 200nl facing a river raise with TP #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
He had a 14 4bet % and a 10% call 3 bet %
I assume you were gonna 3bet/shove your hand to a 4bet?
Because of the 10% call 3bet I'm with massimo about calling pre.
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bigspenda73
Old 09-15-2008, 07:49 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 I don't have HEM to I don't really get the 3bet/4bet numbers, from my expert semi-drunk calculations he's only continuing against 3bets with just under 5% of all hands.

What's 5%, 99+,AQs+,AKo?
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thizzSantaCruz
Old 09-15-2008, 08:16 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I am going to have to incorporate flatting AQ out of the blinds to tight raisers from now on. Its something I had very rarely done in the past.

What do you guys think about the betsizing on the river (which I changed the river card to the actual one...damn pt3 theres not two ace of spades in the deck)? I was attempting to get a call from TT or JJ. Do you think it gets me in trouble too much and I get raised off of my hand?
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 09-15-2008, 09:27 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
I don't have HEM to I don't really get the 3bet/4bet numbers, from my expert semi-drunk calculations he's only continuing against 3bets with just under 5% of all hands.

What's 5%, 99+,AQs+,AKo?
that's 3.8%
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will641
Old 09-15-2008, 03:53 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thizzSantaCruz
I am going to have to incorporate flatting AQ out of the blinds to tight raisers from now on. Its something I had very rarely done in the past.

What do you guys think about the betsizing on the river (which I changed the river card to the actual one...damn pt3 theres not two ace of spades in the deck)? I was attempting to get a call from TT or JJ. Do you think it gets me in trouble too much and I get raised off of my hand?
ive been flatting AQ most the time recently, and i prefer it. its deceiving.
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Fnord
Old 09-16-2008, 01:50 AM #10 (permalink)  
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You're repping a pretty straight-forward range and he says he can beat it. I'm inclined to believe him and I don't give anyone credit for shit.
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