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d0zer
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06-23-2009, 03:22 PM
Post subject: 200NL: AJo top pair
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,530
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Villain 19/12 over 100 and hasn't been seen 3-betting yet.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG Azimut85 ($686.25)
UTG+1 Hero ($203.00)
CO funkeemonkee ($209.00)
BTN .TilTandWiN. ($200.00)
SB famou$_$oon ($673.40)
BB xavieret01 ($386.45)
Pre-flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1  
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, .TilTandWiN. calls $6, famou$_$oon calls $5, 1 fold
Flop:    ($20, 3 players)
famou$_$oon checks, Hero bets $14, .TilTandWiN. calls $14, famou$_$oon folds
Turn:  ($48, 2 players)
Hero bets $26, .TilTandWiN. calls $26
River:  ($100, 2 players)
Hero checks, [color=#cc0000].TilTandWiN. bets $64 Hero .?
Seems like there aren't enough busted draws in his range to justify a call and he's never got a worse ace so...ez fold?
Thoughts on the turn bet / sizing?
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ATOTHEC101
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Full House
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,248
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Whole hand looks fine to me, now fold.
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"This sure beats Super Mario Bros.!" is my ejaculation catch phrase.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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i b/f river against most, but this guys too tight. c/f all day.
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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who likes c/c turn?
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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I don't expect people to float in 3 way pots, so we have to bet this turn to get value from weaker aces and draws.
Villain being 19/12 I'd fold expecting him to show up with AQ/AK or 2p. You beat 2 aces that would check behind, and busted flush draws... so the question is, how often is a 19/12 player flatting a flush draw for 2 streets and then bluffing the river when they whiff? Almost none, almost never. I fold
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Alexos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Montreal
Posts: 2,766
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shove.. he'll prolly fold AQ
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Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //
Can offer RB deals on most sites, PM me.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Alexos
shove.. he'll prolly fold AQ
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\
sick...
so you think he doesn't have much Ax range OTB?
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meeloche
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,131
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I wouldn't mind seeing a aggression factor before I c/f here. Cause I think I always would call here if I checked. Usually its a bet though for me.
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dsaxton
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 2,667
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He almost always has A-Q or some slow-played hand, but usually A-Q. Check-shoving may actually be best here, but I would probably just chicken out and check-fold.
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RugbyDonk
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Two Pair
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 26
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just c/f
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Marshall28
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 1,198
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Alexos
shove.. he'll prolly fold AQ
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My first thought
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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i dunno if opps can fold to a c/r tho. i do like it tho
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Marshall28
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Alexos
shove.. he'll prolly fold AQ
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My first thought |
Can you explain? I'd be too worried about Ax range hitting 2p, he is OTB
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Marshall28
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 1,198
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mixchange
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Marshall28
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Alexos
shove.. he'll prolly fold AQ
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My first thought |
Can you explain? I'd be too worried about Ax range hitting 2p, he is OTB |
He's playing 19/12.... Therefore A9/A8/A6 are not in his flatting range.
Sure maybe you could say they are, but if they are its a small fraction of the time.
This added to the fact that your opponent is making a bet that looks like thin value.
Only question you end up asking yourself is, is villain bad enough to just be retarded and call off AQ anyways? I know I shove here and they call occasionally w/ it.
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