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2/5 deep - warning - potential straight flush folded inside

  
 
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griffey24
Old 02-22-2009, 09:11 PM     Post subject: 2/5 deep - warning - potential straight flush folded inside #1 (permalink)  
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-villain in this hand is nothing too special, just a standard taggish type player who I've played with a few times before but he's not a regular
-we haven't had that many hands together, but he runs 23/18/3.08
-river is a mandatory c/r obviously, but I'm not sure on how nitty I'm being pondering a river fold here

$2/$5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($551.00)
CO ($967.85)
BTN ($500.00)
Hero (SB) ($1089.60)
BB ($781.91)

Pre-flop: ($7, 5 players) Hero is SB
1 fold, CO raises to $15, 1 fold, Hero calls $13, 1 fold

Flop: ($35, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($35, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $25, Hero calls $25

River: ($85, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $70, Hero raises to $225, CO raises to $927.85, Hero to call $700...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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zook
Old 02-22-2009, 09:14 PM #2 (permalink)  
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ummmmmm, lol?
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yourfather
Old 02-22-2009, 09:18 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Nit.
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griffey24
Old 02-22-2009, 09:23 PM #4 (permalink)  
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lol ok but lets be serious for a second

-QQ,JJ,TT all bet the flop. So he rarely has these hands by the river, so he rarely has a boat on the river except for 9T or J9. Both of which might also bet flop sometimes
-He's rarely shoving Ah here, not just because there are two obvious straight flushes out but also because the board is paired

So.. he rarely has a boat... and he rarely shoves Ah... maybe I'm just losing it?...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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zook
Old 02-22-2009, 09:24 PM #5 (permalink)  
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The more I look at this the more I think it might be a fold I don't think Ah's are shoving this river for value and I doubt many flopped sets are checking back this flop, leaving T9/J9/Q9/99 that might be shoving this river for value.



edit: you beat me to it, and I feel you
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yourfather
Old 02-22-2009, 09:35 PM #6 (permalink)  
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I don't play this high and it sure does look like Kh but I cant fold a straight flush. I mean the chances that he misread the board and doesn't realize 4 card sf draw is there and is shoving a boat or Ah is enough to make this a call for me and then curse the gods when he indeed has the King. Or he could think your spazzing with Ah and he has a boat IDK. That's how I justify my bad calls prob .
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Da GOAT
Old 02-22-2009, 09:37 PM #7 (permalink)  
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fuck a duck
Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
 
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Galapogos
Old 02-22-2009, 10:02 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Don't you think he bets the Kh on the flop?

Edit: Unless he flopped the royal?


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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drmcboy
Old 02-22-2009, 10:32 PM #9 (permalink)  
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thread delivers

b\c river instead for sanity value
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bigspenda73
Old 02-22-2009, 10:52 PM #10 (permalink)  
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he has a royal
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Miffed22001
Old 02-22-2009, 11:26 PM #11 (permalink)  
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No BBJ for you!!!

serious reply:

why c/r the river, why no b/c line?
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griffey24
Old 02-22-2009, 11:29 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miffed22001
No BBJ for you!!!

serious reply:

why c/r the river, why no b/c line?
Yaah I think at the time I thought more hands would value bet and then call, than would raise a lead on the river.

I think Ah might sometimes b/c, but definitely not raise a lead often I don't think.

I think boats will b/c and also probably raise leads reasonably often.

So it's pretty close. If he's ever bluffing this river, then c/r is better obviously. If not, then its probably close.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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Irisheyes
Old 02-23-2009, 07:43 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Is there a BBJ?
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BigPapi
Old 02-23-2009, 08:19 AM #14 (permalink)  
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for BBJ you have to use both hole cards
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Fnord
Old 02-23-2009, 08:22 AM #15 (permalink)  
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T9 and 99 seem to fit if he misread the board.

Why not just bet/call the river for value? Sucks to put in so much money on the river deep without the nuts.
 
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Luke999
Old 02-23-2009, 04:16 PM #16 (permalink)  
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I'd fold.
Be super cool if he bluffed it.
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griffey24
Old 02-23-2009, 04:36 PM #17 (permalink)  
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Well I still think c/r river is better than leading the river, just because there are sooo few hands that I can imagine leading this river, after the flop and turn played out this way.

I'll have to think about it more, as to which is better. I just think his b/c range is wider than his river raising range, with worse hands than mine.

And let's get real, I didn't fold this river! LDO But I tanked, and if I had timebank on my site, I think I would have thought about it more and folded. But alas... time crunch.. must call with straight flush. KsKh ftw.... obviously.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay-Z
I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
 
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Fnord
Old 02-23-2009, 04:50 PM #18 (permalink)  
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[x] Skylansky thinks you're a sucker
 
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 02-23-2009, 05:53 PM #19 (permalink)  
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Good job this is a fold
Check out my blog http://suited-aces.com
 
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