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silu73
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07-11-2007, 09:47 AM
Post subject: 100NL - is this too aggressive?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 1,009
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I have been getting good cards and raising quite a bit. Have been 3-betting at least 3 times within 4 orbits. How bad is this line?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Hero ($258.64)
Button ($99.50)
SB ($100.50)
BB ($41.78)
UTG ($119.12)
MP ($106.01)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 , T .
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, Button calls $4, 2 folds.
Flop: ($9.50) J, 8 , 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $9, Button raises to $28, Hero calls $258.64 (All-In)
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,336
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What'cha know about the button?
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silu73
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Full House
Join Date: May 2006
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 1,009
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Not much. His stats over 30 or so hands were 19/12. He seemed OK and not spewy at all.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,336
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Well, he pretty much can't be bluffing here.
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snowbird4life
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Straight
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 246
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yeah, i don't like this at all, especially considering your read. While its possible he may be playing back to fight your agroness and your cbets, i think thats pretty unlikely against a 19/12.
You might be drawing live to your OESD, but i still don't think its worth pushing. I think your probably dead to 8 outs (your OESD) maybe less. Even against just a raggedy jack, (and he probably has a lot better hand) your still a slight dog. Unless i have reads that he likes to play back at my cbets, i think this is the wrong move.
If you want to call and reevaluate the turn, i think that may be alright, but the pot is getting huge. I think a fold here is probably the best move without uber reads.
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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its okay.
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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fold here,
if your opp has playing back at you on flop a few times then by all means shove it down his neck.
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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Galapogos
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: The Loser's Lounge
Posts: 2,322
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Fold here. You have mid-pair with a straight draw that will be very obvious when it completes. Unless he has been playing back at you too much in which case I would push.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,336
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Betting this flop may not have been that keen of an idea.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.133% 28.22% 00.91% 67166468 2172141.50 { Tc9h }
Hand 1: 70.867% 69.95% 00.91% 166499505 2172141.50 { 88+, AJs-ATs, KJs-KTs, QTs+, J8s+, AJo-ATo, KJo-KTo, QTo+, JTo }
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