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100NL: river: set on bad board

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 11-24-2008, 07:46 AM     Post subject: 100NL: river: set on bad board #1 (permalink)  
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No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($20)
Hero (UTG) ($104.50)
MP ($116.65)
CO ($9.50)
Button ($123.60)
SB ($197.20)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10, 10
Hero raises $3.50, 2 folds, Button calls $3.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($8.50) 10, K, A (2 players)
Hero bets $7, Button calls $7

Turn: ($22.50) J (2 players)
Hero bets $16, Button calls $16

River: ($54.50) 6 (2 players)
Hero ???

villain was 20/16/3
Any point on betting river here, maybe b/f $20? The thing is that villain doesn't seem that stationary ... I think he would fold often to aggression, but maybe call AT/AK/AJ ...
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minSim
Old 11-24-2008, 08:07 AM #2 (permalink)  
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AK is probably not in his range after preflop+flop and there are very few AT combo's left.

So imo you're valuetowning yourself too often against a Q or even JJ. I'd c/f.
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kmind
Old 11-24-2008, 08:49 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I c/f here too. It's pretty hard to put AK/AJ/esp. AT in his range.
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griffey24
Old 11-24-2008, 09:50 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Unless you have the most crazy image, I doubt you're getting two streets of value from < Q on this board.

Just c/f.
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jimmy44
Old 11-25-2008, 11:59 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Are we c/f to any bet?
And I didn't had a crazy image.
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nutsinho
Old 11-27-2008, 08:26 AM #6 (permalink)  
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if we dont check/fold here i question whether we are calling an all-in on a K73r flop if he leads for 1/14th pot. (???)
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jimmy44
Old 11-27-2008, 01:00 PM #7 (permalink)  
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OK, Ok!
As for the hand, I checked and villain checked aswell showing A9cc for a badly played turn call.
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