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100NL Marginal River Spot

  
 
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al yell
Old 10-19-2008, 09:39 PM     Post subject: 100NL Marginal River Spot #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 48/7/2/74
call or shove River?

No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed)

MP ($106.64)
Hero (CO) ($101.48)
Button ($96.50)
SB ($230.43)
UTG ($27.95)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K, K
MP raises to $2, Hero raises to $6, 3 folds, MP calls $4

Flop: ($13.50) 6, Q, J (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $12.50, MP calls $12.50

Turn: ($38.50) 8 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $33.50, MP calls $33.50

River: ($105.50) 5 (2 players)
MP bets $16, Hero ...
 
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Genitruc
Old 10-19-2008, 09:50 PM #2 (permalink)  
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seems v v v close to me

I think I shove, but I like variance
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Squeaky_Midget1
Old 10-20-2008, 01:32 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Even with his donk stats how often is he calling a shove with less than a flush or 2 pair? I think I just call unless I know he is incapable of folding AQ/KQ here
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griffey24
Old 10-20-2008, 01:37 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Meh.. I flat. I can't see him calling a shove that light here really.
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bigspenda73
Old 10-20-2008, 02:03 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Genitruc
Old 10-20-2008, 02:07 AM #6 (permalink)  
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i think my advice in spots like this is influenced a lot by my numerous experiences trying to get donks to fold AJ or KQ type hands

they don t
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Squeaky_Midget1
Old 10-20-2008, 04:17 AM #7 (permalink)  
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On second thought, Gen might be right, in this spot hes got like 3/4 of his stack in the pot, AQ/AJ will probably pay you off. And he might be using the blocker bet to say please dont bluff me off the best hand. If y'all were both deep, calling is definately better.
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griffey24
Old 10-20-2008, 04:26 AM #8 (permalink)  
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I mean this entirely depends on villain really. Given stats provided, jamming here is probably ok given what gen said.

If some reg pulls this nonsense on you they could definitely be fake-blocking or something, trying to induce your raise.
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will641
Old 10-20-2008, 04:57 AM #9 (permalink)  
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it seems like we are just ahead too often to not shove. plus hes a donk, and we dont have that much left over anyways. its <3x raise, and i dont think hes folding a good pair.
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will641
Old 10-20-2008, 04:58 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
I mean this entirely depends on villain really. Given stats provided, jamming here is probably ok given what gen said.

If some reg pulls this nonsense on you they could definitely be fake-blocking or something, trying to induce your raise.
would you expect a reg to take this line with like any hand ever?
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bigspenda73
Old 10-20-2008, 04:59 AM #11 (permalink)  
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combo-jam?
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Alexos
Old 10-20-2008, 05:21 AM #12 (permalink)  
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meh, I call
hard to put him on a hand but dont think theres much value in a raise
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Galapogos
Old 10-20-2008, 06:17 AM #13 (permalink)  
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I shove, because like Genitruc said, they never fold like AJ here when I'm bluffing. We don't have much left behind. Calling's not bad though.


Quote:
Originally Posted by sauce123
I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
 
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griffey24
Old 10-20-2008, 01:52 PM #14 (permalink)  
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This is all reads!

There are some players with those stats that are just mega whale stations, and I insta jam river.

There are other weakish donks who are just bad and play scared and will always b/f when they make a small river bet like this.

There are other donks who are afraid with their two pair/straight hand on this board (which I wouldn't be surprised to see) and are tryin to get in cheap but will call a jam anyhow. I think this is the most likely scenario really.

I think this is more often the second two scenario's than the first, so that diminishes a lot of the value in our raise.
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al yell
Old 10-20-2008, 07:30 PM #15 (permalink)  
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thx for the feedback.
 
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griffey24
Old 10-20-2008, 07:57 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
thx for the feedback.
and for the results oriented.....?
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al yell
Old 10-20-2008, 08:03 PM #17 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
thx for the feedback.
and for the results oriented.....?
not sure i should encourage such behavior! however, I just called and was shown T9o (no hearts). I guess the question is now, does he fold a straight?
 
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Genitruc
Old 10-20-2008, 08:09 PM #18 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
thx for the feedback.
and for the results oriented.....?
not sure i should encourage such behavior! however, I just called and was shown T9o (no hearts). I guess the question is now, does he fold a straight?
not in a hundred billion years even if you were 300000bb's deep. god sometimes the way people play poker is truly mind-blowing. seriously HOW THE FUCK DOES HE HAVE 9T no HEART
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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BigPapi
Old 10-20-2008, 08:32 PM #19 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Genitruc
Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Quote:
Originally Posted by al yell
thx for the feedback.
and for the results oriented.....?
not sure i should encourage such behavior! however, I just called and was shown T9o (no hearts). I guess the question is now, does he fold a straight?
not in a hundred billion years even if you were 300000bb's deep. god sometimes the way people play poker is truly mind-blowing. seriously HOW THE FUCK DOES HE HAVE 9T no HEART

Quote:
Villain is 48/7/2/74
OMG OESD! I callll.
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Alexos
Old 10-20-2008, 09:01 PM #20 (permalink)  
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im surprised you guys are surprised that he can have T9 no heart

I mean, he can have anything here, including 79, 47, 58, Q6, J8, 2h3h whothefuck knows thats what donks do

and no he doesnt fold shit here, but I probably need a solid 2pair like Q8 or something to shove, even then pretty thin but okay.
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griffey24
Old 10-20-2008, 09:46 PM #21 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
There are other donks who are afraid with their two pair/straight hand on this board (which I wouldn't be surprised to see) and are tryin to get in cheap but will call a jam anyhow. I think this is the most likely scenario really.
I agree with this..... he must be some high stakes balla

9To obviously!!
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Genitruc
Old 10-21-2008, 04:03 AM #22 (permalink)  
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ya obv there's nothing truly surprising coming from brutal donk-villain like this but, for some reason, just reading a HH like this puts me on huge tilt
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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nutsinho
Old 10-21-2008, 06:59 AM #23 (permalink)  
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so you considered jamming the river for value with a pair but now you wonder if maybe villain would fold a straight?

sigh
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Genitruc
Old 10-21-2008, 08:44 AM #24 (permalink)  
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i don t think OP ever considered jamming riv but posted the hand after I told him I didn't think jamming was bad for value
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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jackvance
Old 11-05-2008, 08:27 AM #25 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
im surprised you guys are surprised that he can have T9 no heart

I mean, he can have anything here, including 79, 47, 58, Q6, J8, 2h3h whothefuck knows thats what donks do
Hm all of that fits in his 7% raising range?..
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Genitruc
Old 11-05-2008, 01:13 PM #26 (permalink)  
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hehe jackvance wins
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Grinder4Life
Old 11-07-2008, 11:03 AM #27 (permalink)  

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I'd call.

When donks do weird stuffs, they usually have it.
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Alexos
Old 11-07-2008, 03:58 PM #28 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jackvance
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexos
im surprised you guys are surprised that he can have T9 no heart

I mean, he can have anything here, including 79, 47, 58, Q6, J8, 2h3h whothefuck knows thats what donks do
Hm all of that fits in his 7% raising range?..
lol reading hh's correctly.. the point is donks never surprise me anymore

and i still call river regardlesss
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Fnord
Old 11-07-2008, 06:28 PM #29 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jackvance
Hm all of that fits in his 7% raising range?..
You should see all the shit I see at showdown from guys playing 20/14 and tighter.
 
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