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mg0698
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08-06-2009, 07:49 PM
Post subject: 100NL Marginal hand vs polarized range
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#1 (permalink)
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 80
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Well i don't always play my hand like this but the guy had such a high fold to CB stat 80% so i though there is more value in turning my hand into a bluff catcher.
Villian is 20/14/3 over 270 hands
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
BB: $116.50
UTG: $80.45
MP: $181.50
Hero (CO): $174.40
BTN: $226.15
SB: $105.80
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with T K
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, 2 folds
Flop: ($7.50) J J K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $5, Hero calls $5
Turn: ($17.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $13.50, Hero calls $13.50
River: ($44.50) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $27.50, Hero ??
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fold river because a lot of the time people will give up with their draws on the river
also, if he has a high fold to cbet that just means he flops hands and bets them
so that might even suggest fold turn
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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I tend to stat whore it up here. Theres a 'bet when checked to by PFR' stat, if he's stabby and tends to follow through I'd c/c all 3. If he's not very stabby/persistant I probably fold somewhere.
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Just playing to improve.
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there is no "bet when checked to by pfr and proceeded to barrel 3 streets with air" stat
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bspahn
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Full House
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 851
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if he folds to most cbets then just bet it and take it down like almost every time!
if he calls ur still getting value from flush and str8 draws, and if he plays back at you on this board its a very easy fold
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mg0698
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 80
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
there is no "bet when checked to by pfr and proceeded to barrel 3 streets with air" stat
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not enough hands for this to converge it was like 50% 1 out of 2 FWIW i also look at this stat
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meeloche
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,131
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I wouldn't take non standard lines vs somebody who you don't have reads on and know how they are going to react to non standard lines. I think that's really important and because of that I would bet the flop. 270 hands is plenty to have some reads on somebody other than 20/14/3. In theory I don't mind your line but you have to have reads that support taking this line so you aren't just c/c and guessing if you're good.
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minSim
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Deventer
Posts: 1,512
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It's CO vs BTN, there's too much value to take here, just cbet.
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Da GOAT
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dublin
Posts: 4,308
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def bet here unless you have READS. and reads that make c/c each street a good idea
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Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
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