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100NL: luckboxed river: shove? value bet?

  
 
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jimmy44
Old 12-11-2008, 06:49 PM     Post subject: 100NL: luckboxed river: shove? value bet? #1 (permalink)  
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No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (4 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($151.70)
Hero (SB) ($100)
BB ($99.50)
UTG ($104.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, 3
1 fold, Button raises $3.50, Hero raises $11, 1 fold, Button calls $8

Flop: ($24) J, 8, K (2 players)
Hero bets $13, Button calls $13

Turn: ($50) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks

River: ($50) 2 (2 players)
Hero ???

Villain was 25/22 over 80 hands. No particular reads.
Do you shove (we have $75 left) or value bet river?
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will641
Old 12-11-2008, 06:58 PM #2 (permalink)  
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meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
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Luke999
Old 12-11-2008, 06:59 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I personally bet small like 18 or 22 and hope villain re-raise/shoves as a bluff. I mean if he does not have much he is rarely calling say a 2/3 pot bet, but by betting small you give him the chance to bluff and call off with worse where he would normall have folded.

But thats just me.
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XTR1000
Old 12-11-2008, 08:37 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by will641
meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
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Originally Posted by bigred View Post
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ATOTHEC101
Old 12-11-2008, 08:53 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XTR1000
Quote:
Originally Posted by will641
meh i just dont feel like youre getting called all that often with an overbet. he most likely has some mp hand trying to get to showdown. i would just throw out $25 and hope he bites.
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meeloche
Old 12-12-2008, 12:47 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Yep will nailed it. He can still maybe jam in his mid thinking you can fold but he's probably is just calling.
 
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jackvance
Old 12-12-2008, 04:35 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I'd bet like $35 because we're not gonna induce a bluff with a block bet probably, and it doesn't look like he's slowplaying anything he can call a shove with. A shove won't rep much of a bluff either since you checked the turn.
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nutsinho
Old 12-12-2008, 05:40 AM #8 (permalink)  
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yea just make a normal value bet
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