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100nl bluff catcher river

  
 
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bikes
Old 11-19-2009, 11:59 PM     Post subject: 100nl bluff catcher river #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain is running TAG and has been three betting me across a few tables to which I have 4b once and just folded the rest. I can't think he would shove a K here for value because its 100nl because its really thin and I can easily have a really good K here and I can't imagine him having a 7 here like ever. So I should call right?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) -

BB ($100)
UTG ($100)
MP ($35)
Hero (CO) ($206.20)
Button ($142.90)
SB ($168.45)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 9
1 fold, MP (poster) checks, Hero bets $4, Button calls $4, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3, 1 fold

Flop: ($17) K, 3, 7 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $12, Button calls $12, 2 folds

Turn: ($41) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $31, Button calls $31

River: ($103) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, [color=#CC3333]Button bets $95.90 (All-In)
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Pelion
Old 11-20-2009, 12:23 AM #2 (permalink)  
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His line certainly doesnt make sense for a hand. Youd expect a strong K to 3bet pre and a weak K to check behind on the river. Youd expect a set to raise somewhere once the board starts to get drawy. A 7 probably wouldnt call the turn. A x is certainly in his range. Id be pretty tempted to call this. The only thing that would worry me is that it looks like a decent spot to c/c with like KQ-KT which you rep pretty convincingly.
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griffey24
Old 11-20-2009, 12:29 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 If the turn brought a heart or something, it would be possible he called down with 7xhh. As played, wow I can't imagine what he has here.

JTdd, 56dd, JQdd are all possible. It's possible he's shoving KQ here for value, and I feel like we would have heard from 333 already.

The problem in this spot is that it's fully a levelling war. He KNOWS diamonds missed and he's still shoving which is bizarre. If he's aggro enough to bluff though, I think I would call this.
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sniderstyle
Old 11-21-2009, 02:20 AM #4 (permalink)  

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I'd say its not likely that he has diamonds because you have diamonds.
I'd be willing to bet your crushed here more often than not. I think it's a fold.

It'd be more of a call if you had 89cc
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Marshall28
Old 11-21-2009, 03:24 AM #5 (permalink)  
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If the river was any card that didn't pair the board I would have shoved.

Given the river is a 7, and he shoves .. .SNAP!
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