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100NL AQ TP vs nit

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mg0698

11-29-2008, 12:36 AM Post subject: 100NL AQ TP vs nit

#1 (permalink)

3-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Sep 2008

Posts: 80

Villian is 17/11/8 over 93 hands, river looks like a real good value bet. What do you guys think? Comments on all streets appreciated.

Button ($102.35)
SB ($100)
BB ($119.30)
UTG ($100)
Hero (MP) ($101.50)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A

, Q

UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($7.50) A

, 2

(2 players)
UTG bets $5, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($17.50) 8

(2 players)
UTG bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($41.50) 6

(2 players)
UTG bets $34, [color=#666666][i]Hero ????

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nutsinho

11-29-2008, 01:43 AM

#2 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Sep 2005

Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt

Posts: 3,280

sigh and click the middle button

My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.

bode

11-29-2008, 02:48 AM

#3 (permalink)

Straight Flush

Join Date: May 2006

Location: slow motion

Posts: 4,270

bode is an unknown quantity at this point

edit: im special needs and didnt read right. i call probably.

Quote:

eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.

jimmy44

11-29-2008, 09:13 AM

#4 (permalink)

Full House

Join Date: Jul 2006

Location: Place where I can spew

Posts: 1,391

I don't agree that river seems like a good value bet.
You've called 2x 2/3 PSB on flop and turn. Then villain fires 7/8 on river ... This looks to me to be more a bluff then a value bet. A good value bet would be more like 2/3 PSB again.
Villain's hand:
You are only behind 3 hands (IMO): AA/AK/22 and maybe 66.
I believe that a 17/11/8 player with AA/22 would c/r turn.
So I'd say that the only hands you are behind are AK and maybe 66. 88 he would have maybe c/r or c/c turn.
Your hand from villain's perpective:
You call 2 streets a 2x 2/3 PSB, so he either put's you on a FD, a weak A, something like TT-KK or maybe a 2.[/u]
So your range is pretty weak here. Therefore, why bet 7/8 river?

nutsinho

11-29-2008, 02:39 PM

#5 (permalink)

4-of-a-Kind

Join Date: Sep 2005

Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt

Posts: 3,280

to make u think he is bluffing because he thinks u have a static calling range on this board...if hes any good

My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.

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100NL AQ TP vs nit

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