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$100NL and I want to fold my overpair.

  
 
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Benoso
Old 06-03-2009, 06:49 PM     Post subject: $100NL and I want to fold my overpair. #1 (permalink)  
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MP is 37/28/1 over a negligible sample size.
BTN is 34/9/2.

PKR No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) - PKR Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button ($100.10)
SB ($63)
Hero (BB) ($236.81)
UTG ($63.60)
MP ($125.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with ,
1 fold, MP bets $2, Button calls $2, 1 fold, Hero raises to $8.50, MP calls $8.50, Button calls $8.50
I have the third best hand in no limit hold'em, let's raise it up. In retrospect the size of the squeeze may be a tad small, I think I prefer $10, but pre flop isn't really worthy of analysis here.
Flop: ($26) , , (3 players)
Hero bets $18, MP calls $18, Button calls $18
Bit of a nasty flop but I can't just give away the initiative so early and so easily, plus I need to charge heart draws and OESDs (99 and 55 primarily).

Turn: ($80) (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $45, Button raises to $73.60 (All-In)
I checked here because I'm at the commitment threshold and after to calls on the flop I sort of hate my hand. It may be a mistake to check here but if we don't we're playing for stacks and given the action on the flop I'm not sure how happy we are with QQ here. After the sizeable bet and the shove I really don't like my hand. Button could be shoving with any sort of draw here given the price he's getting but the MP bet looks strong.

Thoughts here, I added some thought processes so that they can be picked apart too.
 
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Fnord
Old 06-03-2009, 07:08 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Bigger re-raise pre-flop because we're out of position.
Really shitty flop for your hand against loose players. I think you either need to just jamm and hope for the best or go like 1/2 pot and shove any non heart, non AT95. The eight was actually good for your range and I would just put it in.
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Silly String
Old 06-03-2009, 09:35 PM #3 (permalink)  
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First pre is totally worth discussing. Raise bigger because we are OOP, we have 2 fish in the pot AND it makes every other street play more straight forward. If you are squeezing light here enough that you need to raise smaller, you need to evaluate opponents before this squeeze. I raise to $12+ here or more if history.

Flop should be bigger too as board is drawy, again we have two fish in the pot and we hate half of the turn cards. Like $22 minimum.

Turn, if you built the pot bigger & haven't been raised by now, just shove. As played I c/f.

Against fish it is usually better to play your hand face up.
Playing live . . . thanks alot Bin Laden.
 
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Marshall28
Old 06-04-2009, 08:21 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Preflop is fine, c/f this flop.

You aren't good that often, and the times you are good you never know.

In a heads up pot I'd c/c flop and wait til there's a good card on the turn to re-evaluate putting more money in the pot.

Super easy fold on turn.
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