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$100NL - Flop a set...FPS?

  
 
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JL
Old 07-29-2010, 08:49 PM     Post subject: $100NL - Flop a set...FPS? #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is running 29/23/1.6 with a 3bet % of 11 (16 from BTN) after 650 hands.
He has floated me in the past.

My plan was to c/c turn, c/r river...thoughts on this plan?

Anyone fold this river? His sizing + timing (slow) made me want to fold.

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($113.55)
Hero ($174.95)
BTN ($101)
SB ($149.05)
BB ($45.95)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 5 players) Hero is CO
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $5.50, BTN calls $5.50

Turn: ($18.50, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($42.50, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $26, Hero calls $26
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pocketfours
Old 07-30-2010, 08:39 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think it's terrible.
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Mr. Diamond
Old 07-30-2010, 10:37 AM #3 (permalink)  
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For me:
cbetting this turn >>>> your plan
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griffey24
Old 07-31-2010, 02:41 AM #4 (permalink)  
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WHy would you c/c turn and c/RAISE river? I think that's almost over-playing our hand, as his range for betting turn/river has a lot of flushes in it and a lot of hands that won't call a river c/r at all.
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JL
Old 07-31-2010, 03:14 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by griffey24 View Post
WHy would you c/c turn and c/RAISE river? I think that's almost over-playing our hand, as his range for betting turn/river has a lot of flushes in it and a lot of hands that won't call a river c/r at all.
Well it's obviously depending on the board. I wouldn't check raise a board with a flush on it, just like I wouldn't c/r this particular board.
I don't see how it would be over-playing my hand if the river is an offsuit K or A.
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griffey24
Old 07-31-2010, 03:43 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JL View Post
Well it's obviously depending on the board. I wouldn't check raise a board with a flush on it, just like I wouldn't c/r this particular board.
I don't see how it would be over-playing my hand if the river is an offsuit K or A.
Yah my bad, thought the turn brough a flush in.

I don't hate that type of line to mix it up, if you have strong reads that this player likes to float flops light and always bets the turn when checked to.
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oskar
Old 07-31-2010, 05:12 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I can see a cbet, c/r turn if he's good... just to protect your pot control range and stuff. But I think your line is super weired. You have to be absolutely positive that he fires two barrels with his air at least some of the time. I can't possibly see you getting more value from any of the non-air part of his range this way.
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meeloche
Old 07-31-2010, 05:14 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Always taking the most +ev standard line at small stakes is very underrated.
 
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JL
Old 07-31-2010, 07:01 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by meeloche View Post
Always taking the most +ev standard line at small stakes is very underrated.
I always take the most standard line...I just got bored.
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lancelott_
Old 08-01-2010, 05:10 AM #10 (permalink)  
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somebody told it already. Standart lines are standart for a reason. If you don`t have a very strong specific reason not to take such a line - don`t.
I like Betting the turn, or CR`ing
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grindinginnj
Old 08-02-2010, 03:01 PM #11 (permalink)  
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I would have c/r the turn, but I dont think the line u took was that bad. But I dont think you get any value on river if he misses.What hands does he bet river with 88-jj,78s,89s,sets. As played think u just have to call river.
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