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| Sprayed |
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The guy has nit stats. I don't believe that I can call for set value. Is this a fold? Can I call not just for set value but also because 99 can make more hands than just a set? I believe that it will be hard to play post flop when oop and if others call and the pot gets big. PokerStars Game #34789694694: Tournament #208010397, $20+$2 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VII (125/250) - 2009/11/01 13:52:28 ET Table '208010397 115' 9-max Seat #9 is the button Seat 1: NoA.hpx (6134 in chips) Seat 2: Fribbe85 (3200 in chips) Seat 3: Sandi1969 (6380 in chips) Seat 4: Benyfox (11472 in chips) Seat 5: Sprayed (10060 in chips) Seat 6: mavs42 (5827 in chips) Seat 7: MariahC (2367 in chips) Seat 8: udunwantnun (1940 in chips) Seat 9: s_t_bux_a_x (8690 in chips) NoA.hpx: posts the ante 25 Fribbe85: posts the ante 25 Sandi1969: posts the ante 25 Benyfox: posts the ante 25 Sprayed: posts the ante 25 mavs42: posts the ante 25 MariahC: posts the ante 25 udunwantnun: posts the ante 25 s_t_bux_a_x: posts the ante 25 NoA.hpx: posts small blind 125 Fribbe85: posts big blind 250 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Sprayed [9c 9h] Sandi1969: folds Benyfox: raises 500 to 750 Sprayed: |
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| baudib |
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I had intended to study situations like these -- calling with midpairs in EP after a raise -- and my laptop died, with over 100k hands lost. It feels uber-nitty but I would not be surprised if this is an unprofitable situation. A lot depends on how squeezy the table is behind you (if the shorties are gambling it up, it could be a fold) and how this guy plays OOP postflop. |
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Grinding $25 PLO online and $200 NL Live FTW.
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| fjuanl |
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| I would fold, set odds aren't there and you still have 6 others behind you. | ||
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| baudib |
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fjuanl: don't you think the likelihood of villain holding a monster here gives us set odds? i want to fold based on possible action behind us but I think it is close with a chance to get a huge stack against the chip leader. |
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Grinding $25 PLO online and $200 NL Live FTW.
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| Sprayed |
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I'm being a little results because I folded and the board was x99 and like 2 others called pre.  I would def call with Ts in this spot. I think that 9s are a little close.
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| drmcboy |
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I'd call if you end up HU you can play your hand really easy vs the nit and should win a decent amount of non set flops. if lots of people call I'm sure you'll make money just on sets. |
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RIP 15
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| revolvingiris |
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| I agree with drmc on this one and why don't you have set odds? | ||
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| fjuanl |
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Sprayed is just short of having 15x the raise amount and if he flats (generally a standard cutoff for set-mining) theres a chance one of the 6 people left will wake up with QQ+ AK and reraise. I don't think you could call 22-66, but 99 is probably ok at second glance since its a decently high pair My plan (maybe flawed?) would be: In multiway pots: - fold an overpair if the nit fires a decent cbet In heads up pots: - call flop with overpair or on flops like J27, fold to turn bets - check it down if the nit gives up on the turn (<<thoughts?) |
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| baudib |
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fjuanl, as I alluded to, I think a nit has an overpair here often enough that we have set odds more often than against normal people. I can see peeling with some kind of backdoor equity but I think I'd fold on a T22 flop when he fires out 2/3 pot. |
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Grinding $25 PLO online and $200 NL Live FTW.
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