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TP with flush draw facing heat

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 04-05-2009, 04:08 PM     Post subject: TP with flush draw facing heat #1 (permalink)  
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1-2 live 5 -handed. Poker room was about to close in a few minutes. I played tight and threw in some cheap bluff occasionally. My op sitting in BB was a little bit loose aggressive and was not afraid of losing money though. he just lost a big pot vs a top set when he c/r shoved with TOP two. i had about $400, bb had $350.
I raised $6 with Qc Tc from CO, SB( a $50 short stack donk) called, BB 3 bet to $16. i called his small reraise, sb called. I saw this guy 3 bet with AQ a few hands ago, so his range leaned towards 99+, AQ+.
flop: Td 9c 6c checked, checked, i bet $20 , sb shoved his last $34, BB suddenly c/r up to $75.
whats your best line? shove & gamble. flat call or a clear fold ?
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Fnord
Old 04-05-2009, 08:20 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

5,940 games 0.031 secs 191,612 games/sec

Board: Td 9c 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.444% 48.99% 00.45% 2910 27.00 { QcTc }
Hand 1: 50.556% 50.10% 00.45% 2976 27.00 { AA }
 
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pokerfan
Old 04-06-2009, 08:00 AM #3 (permalink)  
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KK <<<< QT soooted. i gambled my whole stack and won the pot with river trips.
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Fnord
Old 04-06-2009, 08:56 PM #4 (permalink)  
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtyjNNyYTXc
 
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LawDude
Old 04-06-2009, 09:07 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtyjNNyYTXc
I'm with the commenter at youtube-- I'm running that twice, or 4 times, or whatever. It's just crazy to risk half a million dollars on a coinflip like that. (Of course, it would be nice to have the bankroll where I could afford to risk almost $500,000 on poker hands. )
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oskar
Old 04-06-2009, 11:52 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Easy shovel. You can't give up with those pot odds, and you don't want to face a shove on the turn. Give him a chance to throw away the best hand also.


Board: Td 9c 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.232% 43.78% 00.45% 12135 126.00 { QcTc }
Hand 1: 55.768% 55.31% 00.45% 15333 126.00 { 99+, 66 }
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