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Live, raise EP 66, 4-6 callers, flop=347

  
 
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pat3392
Old 09-11-2010, 02:33 AM     Post subject: Live, raise EP 66, 4-6 callers, flop=347 #1 (permalink)  
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I'm really edgy with some of details of this hand. I was UTG+1/2 with about 45BB; I raised 4BB over one very weak, loose limper.

I had a bunch of callers, 4-6. This amount of calling was fairly standard at this table, they like to see the flop with lots of garbage, regardless if there was a raise. The flop was, 347 rainbow. Figuring to have the best hand, I put in a decent sized bet for value and protection.

I got one caller from a loose spastic player. He didn't seem to slow play his big hands preflop, rather came out with big raises. He did one very speculative play; a player did a decentish size raise pre and he came over the top with a shove, giving his opponent about 2.5:1 to call, our villian had J8s... He limped a lot of hands pre but was fairly passive most of the time. I raised 8BB a few times in the last few orbits and I think it was annoying the limpers. This player in particular limped UTG and openly told me that he was getting pissed of with this "8BB crap", he was considering reraising me with 55. He called instead and c/f on a AKx flop

Back to the hand. The turn was a 3. He checked and I bet again. He then shoved over the top, giving me about 1.7:1 to call. He seen me count the chips in the pot and when I asked him what he had he replied, "you havn't got the best hand, nor the odds so fold" something like that. Basically he seem to be trying to convince me to fold in a friendly matter.


If I've left out something please let me know!

EDIT: Fixed open raise amount, raised it to 4BB NOT 8
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oskar
Old 09-11-2010, 03:07 AM #2 (permalink)  
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With your stack size I think 66 is not a good open from EP.
You're looking for hands that can make a decent top pair that you can then shovel all your money in with. 66 flops a set 1 in 8 times and not much else.

How do you "figure" you have the best hand?

What hands are they calling with? How many players are in the hand and what positions did they call from? Do they all have you covered?

If you don't remember, make something up.

We'll get into why having the best hand isn't a reason to bet in a sec.
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pat3392
Old 09-11-2010, 03:33 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar View Post
With your stack size I think 66 is not a good open from EP.
You're looking for hands that can make a decent top pair that you can then shovel all your money in with. 66 flops a set 1 in 8 times and not much else.

How do you "figure" you have the best hand?

What hands are they calling with? How many players are in the hand and what positions did they call from? Do they all have you covered?

If you don't remember, make something up.

We'll get into why having the best hand isn't a reason to bet in a sec.
I had about half of the players covered and was even with the rest(50BB buy in game) They called from a variety of positions, it was tilted towards LP or something

I figured that it was best due to there was only one over card, which wasn't a particularly scary one. Ok let me think, how many were in the hand? I'll say 6 including me. They were calling with all sorts of garbage. I didn't get to see that many showdowns as it was folded a lot before it got to that stage. However, I did a similar raise last orbit and got a bunch of callers. The UTG player ended up winning the hand with 29s.... If I were to assign ranges to them:

1 person played 47%
2 players played 75%
2 players, including villain, played 58%

Just estimations

Anything else?
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paratrooper99
Old 09-11-2010, 05:54 AM #4 (permalink)  
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IMO, you are crushed. How does "garbage" not fit this board?

3 4 7 3 (rainbow Im guessing)

Villian either has a 3 and acting weak for you to call, flopped a straight, has a set, or a weak overpair like 88 or 99.
Also, try to find a game with 100bb buyins or adjust your opening range/opening bet.
If you are opening PP under 99, suited aces, suited broadways, etc , you are committing too much preflop.
Example for 1/2 game with buyin of 100.
You have AsKs UTG+1 and you open to 8bb and get 3 callers (SB BB and BU). The pot is now 24 BB and you only have 42 left. Flop comes A 9 4 with 2 clubs. As you say, you want to protect your hand and get value but any sensible c-bet here commits you to the pot.
If you dont have a better game available, play online or adjust your opening bet to 2.5x or 3x bb.
GL.
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pat3392
Old 09-11-2010, 07:25 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paratrooper99 View Post
IMO, you are crushed. How does "garbage" not fit this board?

3 4 7 3 (rainbow Im guessing)

Villian either has a 3 and acting weak for you to call, flopped a straight, has a set, or a weak overpair like 88 or 99.
Also, try to find a game with 100bb buyins or adjust your opening range/opening bet.
If you are opening PP under 99, suited aces, suited broadways, etc , you are committing too much preflop.
Example for 1/2 game with buyin of 100.
You have AsKs UTG+1 and you open to 8bb and get 3 callers (SB BB and BU). The pot is now 24 BB and you only have 42 left. Flop comes A 9 4 with 2 clubs. As you say, you want to protect your hand and get value but any sensible c-bet here commits you to the pot.
If you dont have a better game available, play online or adjust your opening bet to 2.5x or 3x bb.
GL.
Sorry, mistake, I opened for 4 BB
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oskar
Old 09-11-2010, 07:48 AM #6 (permalink)  
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I'll do this in a fairly unscientific way, but it should be close enough. They average out at 60% of hands played. A 60% range hits TP or better about 22% of the time on that board. There are five other people in the hand, and you want to know how often you have the best hand right there. that*s 0.68^5

^^ this will not get the right result because the ranges are not seperate. If one person has A7, another person cannot. But with ranges that wide it won't be miles off.

So you stand to have the best hand roughly 15% of the time here.


With that out of the way: let's say you're up against one or two opponents. You have the best hand more often than not. This is still not a reason to bet. If you're not getting called by enough hands that have less equity in the hand than you do, there is still no reason to bet, other than as a bluff.


In this game I would not play small pp's other than in lp or completing the sb in a multi-way limped pot. Broadway hands go way up in value, as well as suited aces. You're not looking to make the nuts. You want to isolate 1-3 players, flop top pair and get it in.

Open for 5-10x the bb as well. prolly closer to 10x
but pay attention to stack sizes...
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baudib
Old 09-12-2010, 03:58 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I'd suggest being more aware of details when you're involved in a hand, particularly when you are shortstacked and raising.

not trying to be a d1ck, but yeah, it makes a big difference if there are 4 or 6 limpers already in. people's limp behind range comprises a lot of pps 22-99.
Playing big pots at small stakes.
 
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pat3392
Old 09-13-2010, 04:44 AM #8 (permalink)  
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pat3392
Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar View Post
I'll do this in a fairly unscientific way, but it should be close enough. They average out at 60% of hands played. A 60% range hits TP or better about 22% of the time on that board. There are five other people in the hand, and you want to know how often you have the best hand right there. that*s 0.68^5

^^ this will not get the right result because the ranges are not seperate. If one person has A7, another person cannot. But with ranges that wide it won't be miles off.

So you stand to have the best hand roughly 15% of the time here.


With that out of the way: let's say you're up against one or two opponents. You have the best hand more often than not. This is still not a reason to bet. If you're not getting called by enough hands that have less equity in the hand than you do, there is still no reason to bet, other than as a bluff.


In this game I would not play small pp's other than in lp or completing the sb in a multi-way limped pot. Broadway hands go way up in value, as well as suited aces. You're not looking to make the nuts. You want to isolate 1-3 players, flop top pair and get it in.

Open for 5-10x the bb as well. prolly closer to 10x
but pay attention to stack sizes...
Wow nicely explained. How did you work out that math, really intrigued
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pat3392
Old 09-13-2010, 04:46 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by baudib View Post
I'd suggest being more aware of details when you're involved in a hand, particularly when you are shortstacked and raising.

not trying to be a d1ck, but yeah, it makes a big difference if there are 4 or 6 limpers already in. people's limp behind range comprises a lot of pps 22-99.
Yeah I definitely need to be more aware but it's easier said than done.... Comes with experience I guess
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oskar
Old 09-13-2010, 12:32 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pat3392 View Post
Wow nicely explained. How did you work out that math, really intrigued
look through the beginners digest and look for stuff that has 'combinatorics' or 'math' in the title.

Basically you know there are 52*51/2 = 1326 combinations of hands in HE, 0.6*1326 are what makes up the range we're working with, and then you just add up hands until you get to that number considering blockers on the flop and in your hand. Then you just add up how many of those hands hit anything better than 2nd pair on that flop, and there you go.
I just put it into flopzilla, but you can do it on paper. The rest is just basic probability
The chance that something that happens x times at least once when you do it n times, that's: 1 - (1-x)^n
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