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| KoRnholio |
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Preflop Capper is running 26/9/1.35 - loose but not too bad. I have a little history with him. The BB cold caller is running 41/12/0.24 82% ShowDown /39% W$@SD over about 70 hands since I've sat down. He is ridiculously loose and likely has cold-called my 3bet with his top 60% of hands, weighted more towards suited hands. I've seen him bluff before (on the turn) when no one else showed interest in a pot. Most of the time he shows down any pair, and I've seen him call down with ace and even king high once. Cryptologic 2.00/4.00 Hold'em (10 handed) link Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q  , A .1 folds, UTG+1 raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, BB calls, UTG+1 caps, Hero calls, BB calls. Flop: (12.50 SB) 7 , J, 2 (3 players)BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks. Turn: (6.25 BB) 9 (3 players)BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks. UTG+1 certainly has AK here, probably not with the K of spades. The donk could have any 2 cards and isn't folding. My instinct was to take a freebie. River: (6.25 BB) 5  (3 players)BB bets, UTG+1 folds, Hero...? It's very possible that the donk just hit a pair with that 5. His post-flop aggression factor is so, so low, but after both opponents checked through twice, I could see him bluffing with his hopeless hands. 7:1 is pretty good odds... right? |
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To be pleased with one's limits is a wretched state.
- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe 
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| Why not fire at the pot at the turn? They both don't seem like they have anything. | ||
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| DrivingDog |
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| Fold preflop. An UTG+1 raise is pretty strong, no? What does he open-raise here that you're ahead of with AQ? | ||
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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| KoRnholio |
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My reasoning for checking the turn is that a free card is far more likely to help me than either of them. A turn bet would be a poor semi-bluff, since it's unlikely that both or even one would fold. From UTG+1's point of view (I will discount the donk, he is oblivious), if I had something, I probably would have bet the flop. If I bet the turn now, the only had I can really rep (that I don't have- ie one big spade) is something like 88. Folding preflop crossed my mind, but this guy would open raise KQ/AJ/77+ in that position. With position on him I will gladly play him with AQ in this spot. |
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To be pleased with one's limits is a wretched state.
- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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| jmontis |
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he's two bets cold outta the bb, this is something i'd respect mildly. What does he have here that's so dear to him? 22+, 45s+. I fold and think he's gettin in a value bet hoping someone with A high calls, but for 6:1, you might be gettin good odds for a bluff call. |
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take your ego out of the equation and judge the situation dispassionately
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| KoRnholio |
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| That guy was so loose that cold calling didn't mean anything to him. Results were I called and the BB showed Jc 4c for top pair. | ||
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To be pleased with one's limits is a wretched state.
- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
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