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turn semi-bluff goot? 5/10

  
 
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PO$$E$$ED
Old 05-18-2006, 01:53 PM     Post subject: turn semi-bluff goot? 5/10 #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 21/4 over 100 hands, seems solid and is capable of getting tricky. I thought about raising the flop, but then decided against it because villain raises with only premium hands. Once the second nine hit I thought I would go ahead and rep the trips. Too transparent or good play?

Game #2410494254: Hold'em NL (£5/£10) - 2006/05/18 - 09:17:39 (ET)
Table "Wakefield" Seat 6 is the button.
Seat 1: Pistolero sits out
Seat 2: zambezi (£540.75 in chips)
Seat 3: Denilsson (£2445.25 in chips)
Seat 4: noseyicap (£950 in chips)
Seat 5: Criztal (£1534.50 in chips)
Seat 6: possessed (£1566.25 in chips)
zambezi: posts big blind £10
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to possessed [Td Ad]
Pistolero sits back
Denilsson: folds
noseyicap: raises to £30
Criztal: folds
possessed: calls £30
zambezi: folds
----- FLOP ----- [4c 9d 5d]
noseyicap: bets £60
possessed: calls £60
----- TURN ----- [4c 9d 5d][9c]
noseyicap: checks
possessed: bets £200
 
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AHiltz
Old 05-18-2006, 02:30 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Are you really repping a 9 here with a pot sized bet? Are you not repping a flush draw?

A 9 would have raised the flop, no?
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johnny_fish
Old 05-18-2006, 02:34 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
I thought about raising the flop, but then decided against it because villain raises with only premium hands.
4% PFR is TT+/AK right? Raising the flop is still a good play IMO.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 55.0407 % 54.50% 00.54% { TT+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 2: 44.9593 % 44.42% 00.54% { AdTd }

Anyway, betting the turn is standard after his check (unless he c/r overpairs at drawing boards into a possible boat/trips; unlikely).
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Iwind
Old 05-18-2006, 02:53 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Looks good, a 9 wouldn't raise the flop necessarily, I'd probably call with a nine here against such a player, both a flush draw and a nine can call or raise flop.
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Pingviini
Old 05-18-2006, 02:57 PM #5 (permalink)  
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I fold PF against such nit, I just like to play really tight in the blinds.

I like both flop and turn, eventhough I would bet a little less on turn but that isnt really the issue here. I like this line. If villain doesnt have an ovepair he will fold, problems might arise when he calls. You have no reads if he will fold to another pot sized bet on blank river?
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Iwind
Old 05-18-2006, 02:57 PM #6 (permalink)  
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If he calls and is solid, able to fold an overpair if he think he's beat, and you haven't gotten out of line before, I'd make a close to potsized bet on river if a blank hits.
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gabe
Old 05-18-2006, 04:16 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pingviini
I fold PF against such nit, I just like to play really tight in the blinds.

I like both flop and turn, eventhough I would bet a little less on turn but that isnt really the issue here. I like this line. If villain doesnt have an ovepair he will fold, problems might arise when he calls. You have no reads if he will fold to another pot sized bet on blank river?
hes not in the blinds. i like raising the flop big vs this nit, rep a set. your line doesn't look like a hand because you called the flop.
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johnny_fish
Old 05-18-2006, 04:55 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gabe
i like raising the flop big vs this nit, rep a set.
Raise to 150-200? Then push a blank turn or check?
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gabe
Old 05-18-2006, 05:26 PM #9 (permalink)  
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yea, against a nit thats a good line
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Iwind
Old 05-18-2006, 05:46 PM #10 (permalink)  
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If you have 89 or 9T here, how do you play it then? I'm calling this flop with 89/9T quite often in position.
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