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TP+OESFD 200bb's deep.. facing turn heat

  
 
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griffey24
Old 07-14-2008, 10:50 PM     Post subject: TP+OESFD 200bb's deep.. facing turn heat #1 (permalink)  
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-villain in this hand is riddimAce on crypto, and he runs 22/19/2.7, who's won at SD is 53% over a pretty big sample
-I haven't really ever gotten into too many battles with him, so my reads on him aren't too great. I think he's overall pretty solid
-No hands vs him today, but if he's been paying attention on other tables I've been flopping a ton of draws everywhere and seemingly raising flops everywhere
-Is this a super easy turn fold? Is there a better line for this hand? b/3b flop?


Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$5
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $554.80
UTG+1: $447.50
CO: $1293.70
Button: $1526.65
Hero: $995.15
BB: $493

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with
2 folds, CO raises to $20, Button folds, Hero calls, BB folds.

Flop: ($45, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $35, Hero raises to $120, CO calls.

Turn: ($285, 2 players)
Hero bets $195, CO raises to $390, Hero ?
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Fnord
Old 07-14-2008, 10:56 PM #2 (permalink)  
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He can't be bruffing or raising a worse flush?

With 3 broadways accounted for, you're beat by AKs, Axs and Krags. Is he even playing Krags very often in this spot?
 
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Deanglow
Old 07-14-2008, 10:58 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Well you have already won $530 if he folds so shove
 
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griffey24
Old 07-14-2008, 11:05 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
He can't be bruffing or raising a worse flush?

With 3 broadways accounted for, you're beat by AKs, Axs and Krags. Is he even playing Krags very often in this spot?
It's possible he's bluffing, but I was thinking similar to you. I have the Qs, so he couldn't be semibluffing with a hand like AsQ, or KsQ or something.

I also have both the Qs and the Ts so the next worse flush on this board is 7s8s (which would also probably call the flop given the insider, though hitting that straight is pretty tainted)

Checking over my PT stats, I have several hands of him raising hands like K6s, K8s after limpers or opening. Sample size is pretty small though for these hands.
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elipsesjeff
Old 07-15-2008, 01:15 AM #5 (permalink)  
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his turn minraise seems pretty weak IMO but I would need a pretty sick read to not shove this turn.


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nutsinho
Old 07-15-2008, 04:12 AM #6 (permalink)  
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sauce123
Old 07-15-2008, 04:28 AM #7 (permalink)  
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if hes capable of folding small flushes to a shove u can call/call or if hes capable of continuing a river bluff

hes probably not so jam
I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
 
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Genitruc
Old 07-15-2008, 06:49 AM #8 (permalink)  
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i m stacking off 100% of the time here
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Genitruc
Old 07-15-2008, 06:51 AM #9 (permalink)  
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i think the big question is where to raise turn or call and let him shove riv with lower flush
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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zook
Old 07-15-2008, 03:28 PM #10 (permalink)  
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zook
shove b/c you probably have straight flush outs
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griffey24
Old 07-15-2008, 05:04 PM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zook
shove b/c you probably have straight flush outs
lol shippp the two outer baby!
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Renton
Old 07-15-2008, 05:22 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zook
shove b/c you probably have straight flush outs
n, he has ks8s imo
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