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I might be thinking too hard...

  
 
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 10-08-2008, 04:40 PM     Post subject: I might be thinking too hard... #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is gith who i really haven't played much with lately but from a datamine i have him at 16/13/3 with 3-bet of 4%. I thought the call preflop is standard. I'm also really not sure whether he reacts to minraises by 3-betting more, less or the same.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($945)
BB ($1255)
UTG ($2053)
MP ($1133)
CO ($1030)
Hero (Button) ($1192)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, J
3 folds, Hero raises to $20, SB raises to $70, BB calls $60, Hero calls $50

Flop: ($210) 10, 7, Q (3 players)
SB bets $140, 1 fold, Hero folds

Total pot: $210 | Rake: $3

I thought my problem here is that i'm rarely calling this flop with a strong hand against this sort of action, and that's what he probably assumes. I'm not gonna call a double barrel. So i thought my range was ridiculously exploitable and most players will take advantage. But is this illogical in position?

Also i considered that in itself his betting range is pretty damn strong.
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nutsinho
Old 10-08-2008, 04:51 PM #2 (permalink)  
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griffey24
Old 10-08-2008, 05:58 PM #3 (permalink)  
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If we're folding on a Q high board, and we're folding to most double barrels then I'd rather just fold pre really. No harm in that to such a big nit?
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pocketfours
Old 10-08-2008, 06:32 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nutsinho
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Alexos
Old 10-08-2008, 06:32 PM #5 (permalink)  
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"Also i considered that in itself his betting range is pretty damn strong. "

Agree with this, I also am a firm believer that people do not think as deeply as you think they do, thus folding here and playing QJs this way is unexploitable vs 99% of regs.
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pocketfours
Old 10-08-2008, 06:37 PM     Post subject: Re: I might be thinking too hard... #6 (permalink)  
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btw if flop was 9, 8, Q, then I'd certainly play.
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griffey24
Old 10-08-2008, 06:50 PM #7 (permalink)  
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I mean.. I really don't get why people aren't just saying to muck this pre. The guy is a mega nit with a 3-bet % of 4! If a lot of money gets in on any J high or Q high flop, we're never happy about it.

The only flops that we like are like 9Tx or like spades. Even KT probably isn't great, as he'll prob have a piece that likes it and have little fold equity anyhow.

meh.. I don't know... maybe I just fold to too many 3bets...
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mixchange
Old 10-09-2008, 12:47 AM #8 (permalink)  
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G, cuz a lot of mega nits still like to 3bet a lot in the blinds and then play like a nit post flop
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 10-09-2008, 05:01 AM #9 (permalink)  
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I think he's a lot more aggro then that.
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pocketfours
Old 10-09-2008, 09:16 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
I mean.. I really don't get why people aren't just saying to muck this pre. The guy is a mega nit with a 3-bet % of 4! If a lot of money gets in on any J high or Q high flop, we're never happy about it.

The only flops that we like are like 9Tx or like spades. Even KT probably isn't great, as he'll prob have a piece that likes it and have little fold equity anyhow.

meh.. I don't know... maybe I just fold to too many 3bets...
Getting huge pot odds for playing in position against predictable opponents with a hand that plays well in multiway pots. I don't mind a fold, but I certainly don't mind a call either.
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ilikeaces86
Old 10-09-2008, 01:23 PM #11 (permalink)  
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spew pre.
 
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 10-09-2008, 03:39 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Lol yeah forgot to comment I think it actually is a call pre but based on datamined 3bet% folding would seem more correct. Gith has always been pretty aggro versus me at least.
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Numbr2intheWorld
Old 10-10-2008, 06:20 PM #13 (permalink)  
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it was only like 200 mined hands fwiw
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Genitruc
Old 10-12-2008, 09:27 AM #14 (permalink)  
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this is too good for me
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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Genitruc
Old 10-12-2008, 09:27 AM #15 (permalink)  
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random Q : are you raising a low flop with 2 spades?
when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
 
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dsaxton
Old 10-12-2008, 05:29 PM     Post subject: Re: I might be thinking too hard... #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Massimo
I thought my problem here is that i'm rarely calling this flop with a strong hand against this sort of action, and that's what he probably assumes. I'm not gonna call a double barrel. So i thought my range was ridiculously exploitable and most players will take advantage.
I think this is an argument for not folding on the turn if he bets again and / or slow-playing strong hands on this flop, not an argument for folding the flop.

I think the main reason for folding the flop is just the fact that his range is super strong, like you mentioned.
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