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On the draw vs the overbet

  
 
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DoGGz
Old 02-19-2006, 03:15 AM     Post subject: On the draw vs the overbet #1 (permalink)  
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Interesting hand that I played yesterday. Not sure if I like it or not. Discuss.

DoGGz $1000
Button $800

DoGGz Posts BB $10
Cards:

Folds to Button

Button raises to $20
DoGGz Calls $20

Flop:

DoGGz Checks
Button bets $400
DoGGz Raises to $1000


My thoughts. At worst I'm up vs AA, at best he ment to bet 40 but put in 1 too many zeros.
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twosevoff
Old 02-19-2006, 04:11 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I like it. With that huge overbet, most likely he has QQ-AA (though I suppose he also could be getting cute with air, mistyped the bet like you suggested, or is trying to get all his money in on the flop with 7d8d ). Given that, you have significant folding equity since he's gotta be worried about a set here, and if he has QQ you're a slight favorite, KK a slight dog, and AA about a 2-1 dog. Either way, you got outs and aren't going to be drawing slim. FE combined with showdown value make this a +EV play I think.
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zenbitz
Old 02-22-2006, 06:27 PM #3 (permalink)  
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zenbitz
Or he has 34 no diamonds.
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Bmxicle
Old 02-22-2006, 08:12 PM #4 (permalink)  
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He has to call 380 into a 1200 pot, at best you are a coinflip, and you have very little folding equity.

I mean you are fighting over a 40 dollar pot here, just let it go.
 
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Estrop
Old 02-22-2006, 09:03 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Estrop
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bmxicle
He has to call 380 into a 1200 pot, at best you are a coinflip, and you have very little folding equity.

I mean you are fighting over a 40 dollar pot here, just let it go.
I'm with bmxicle on this one.
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