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Which bluff got called?

  
 
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pocketfours
Old 07-20-2007, 11:49 AM     Post subject: Which bluff got called? #1 (permalink)  
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 These are all from the same aggressive hu session.

Three bluffs, what do you think about these? One got called, but which one?

NR 1:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BB ($3,074.80 in chips)
Seat 10: HERO [ AD,KC ] ($961.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
HERO posts blind ($3), BB posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
HERO bets $15, BB calls $12.

FLOP [board cards 8D,4D,JC ]
BB checks, HERO bets $45, BB calls $45.

TURN [board cards 8D,4D,JC,5S ]
BB checks, HERO bets $90, BB calls $90.

RIVER [board cards 8D,4D,JC,5S,QH ]
BB bets $200, HERO bets $550...

-------------
NR 2:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BUTTON ($2,885.80 in chips)
Seat 10: HERO [ 8H,KH ] ($826.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
BUTTON posts blind ($3), HERO posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
BUTTON bets $17, HERO calls $14.

FLOP [board cards 2S,4S,7S ]
HERO bets $42, BUTTON calls $42.

TURN [board cards 2S,4S,7S,6S ]
HERO bets $99, BUTTON calls $99.

RIVER [board cards 2S,4S,7S,6S,9H ]
HERO bets $300...

-------------
NR 3:

Ongame Texas Hold'em $6-$12 NL (real money)

Seat 7: BUTTON ($2,190.40 in chips)
Seat 9: HERO [ 5C,5H ] ($1513.00 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
BUTTON posts blind ($3), HERO posts blind ($6).

PRE-FLOP
BUTTON bets $17, HERO bets $66, BUTTON calls $52.

FLOP [board cards QS,TH,8D ]
HERO bets $150, BUTTON calls $150.

TURN [board cards QS,TH,8D,9H ]
HERO checks, BB bets $150, HERO bets $450...
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minSim
Old 07-20-2007, 12:09 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Toadstool
Old 07-20-2007, 01:44 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 1st - its likely has either 9 10 or JQ here and I think they would both call, or raise in 9 10's case
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Old 07-20-2007, 02:02 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Old 07-20-2007, 06:04 PM #5 (permalink)  
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zenbitz
Old 07-20-2007, 06:55 PM #6 (permalink)  
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1st seems like it would be called because the bet is so small relative to pot, but that's too obvious.

3rd, because how can he call 2 bets with no spade, then fold? A set?
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Old 07-20-2007, 08:51 PM #7 (permalink)  
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pocketfours
Old 07-20-2007, 11:55 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zenbitz
1st seems like it would be called because the bet is so small relative to pot, but that's too obvious.

3rd, because how can he call 2 bets with no spade, then fold? A set?
In nr2 villain of course has a spade. But he knows that I know that he has a spade. So how good does your Queen high flush look when a guy who knows you have a flush is betting the pot into you on the river?

I know that he knows that I know that he has a spade. Would then be quite crazy to bluff here, right? WRONG! It's clearly a very good spot to rep the Ace of spades, because it sure doesn't look like he has it... I also bet the flop, which adds to the probability that i've got it.

Dont try this at low stakes though...
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IowaSkinsFan
Old 07-21-2007, 03:26 AM #9 (permalink)  
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 nice analysis on hand 2, however opp could also show up with a set here which he has to fold on the river i'd assume.
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pocketfours
Old 07-22-2007, 02:09 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
nice analysis on hand 2, however opp could also show up with a set here which he has to fold on the river i'd assume.
Well a set could work as a bluffcatcher I guess, but I would never call a pot sized bet with a set here, no matter how much I suspected a bluff.

Result: NR 3 got called. Villain turned two pair with Q9.

In NR 3 I was trying to check down my pocket fives on the turn, but when villain weak-bet, I thought I could steal it easily. I guess I got levelled myself here...
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