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5/10 - trips 200bb deep - shitty river

  
 
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zook
Old 08-19-2008, 09:02 PM     Post subject: 5/10 - trips 200bb deep - shitty river #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is running 26/19/2.8. Not much history, but I've seen him enough that I think he's a regular. He seems a little stationy post-flop, but not for huge sums that I've seen. If he's paying attention he's seen me double up 200bb deep with AA all-in pre vs. AKo (lol) and take a similar line to this with overcards on a low paired board.

Do I miss too much value by checking here? Can I bet/fold x with pot behind?

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LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $2,000
MP: $1,572
CO: $4,600
BTN: $419
Hero (SB): $3,888.50
BB: $4,078.50

Pre-Flop: 5 6 dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG raises to $35, 3 folds, Hero calls $30, BB folds

Flop: ($80) 5 J 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $55, Hero raises to $220, UTG calls $165

Turn: ($520) 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets $400, UTG calls $400

River: ($1,320) J (2 Players)
Hero... (~pot eff. behind)
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Irisheyes
Old 08-20-2008, 05:47 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I think he either had like AA-77 or decent Jx. I don't think he will call a big bet or value bet if checked to with the former. idk what the average reg at your stake is like but I find that not many 1k regs will turn a 1 pair hand into a bluff here so I'm going with c/f.
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griffey24
Old 08-20-2008, 05:00 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 Yah there are no draws out so c/f is probably best.

In theory you could probably try going for half pot bet and fold, cause he's never bluffing hardly. I'd prob just check though.
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zook
Old 08-20-2008, 07:40 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Yah there are no draws out so c/f is probably best.

In theory you could probably try going for half pot bet and fold, cause he's never bluffing hardly. I'd prob just check though.
No fair if you read results in my blog first.

btw, I think this is a much more interesting spot than the other hand I posted yesterday that got like 8 responses...
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Alexos
Old 08-20-2008, 07:52 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 Bet 4-500, fold to shove.

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griffey24
Old 08-20-2008, 08:19 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zook
Quote:
Originally Posted by griffey24
Yah there are no draws out so c/f is probably best.

In theory you could probably try going for half pot bet and fold, cause he's never bluffing hardly. I'd prob just check though.
No fair if you read results in my blog first.

btw, I think this is a much more interesting spot than the other hand I posted yesterday that got like 8 responses...

Nope hadn't seen your blog when I posted that, but now i have.

So I didn't cheat. If you've been out of line and he may think you're bluffy then b/f half bet could be profitable. I think it's pretty thin though.
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