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Irisheyes
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11-28-2008, 09:20 AM
Post subject: 4/8 Optimistic calldown?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: over there
Posts: 3,708
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Villain is 24/18/2.6 seems decent, 1kNL reg. cbet stat is 60%. He steals 30% from the CO.
$4/$8 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
BTN ($1115.00)
SB ($792.00)
BB ($1604.40)
Pre-flop: ($12, 5 players) Hero is  
1 fold, Tidien raises to $23, Hero calls $23, 2 folds
Flop:    ($58, 2 players)
Tidien bets $40, Hero calls $40
Turn:  ($138, 2 players)
Tidien bets $104, Hero calls $104
River:  ($346, 2 players)
Tidien bets $272, Hero calls $272
[Results Hidden]
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griffey24
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Toronto'ish
Posts: 4,611
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I think it is optimistic, especially if villain is capable of somehow barreling JJ+ here for value.
I'd almost rather call down on Q72 board or something, cause villain might think he can actually get us off a hand. On QQ7 I feel like he might/should be worried that we're slow-play calling down Qx and might not go crazy tripling bluff.
Depends on reads of villain I guess.
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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I don't see how villain can profitably bluff the river, since you are almost never on a missed draw here. He certainly should not value bet A7 either, since your weakest calling range is like TT-88/67s/78s. You don't have an underpair here ever I hope?
Folding turn seems standard, but I think calling turn and folding river is acceptable in this spot as well (he might bet the turn with A7 or fd but check the river).
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Irisheyes
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: over there
Posts: 3,708
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k ty guys. Thats pretty much what I thought.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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lol id like always get to the river and sometimes fold it-
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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I'd fold, but calling is fine since every draw missed.
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Joblah123
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 9
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yea, not to optomistic, as i think he would only have a pair of sevens at the most or even two pairs, but whatever the outcome was I would like to no.
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