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The Odds God
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05-14-2008, 08:30 AM
Post subject: 3/6 JJ underreped call river?
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 252
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
CO ($1329.60)
Button ($600)
SB ($636)
BB ($600)
UTG ($609)
Hero ($716)
Preflop: Hero is MP with J , J .
UTG raises to $18, Hero calls $18, 4 folds.
Flop: ($45) 5, 6 , 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $36, Hero calls $36.
Turn: ($117) K (2 players)
UTG bets $84, Hero calls $84.
River: ($285) 2 (2 players)
UTG bets $234, Hero ????
Villain is www.BTHERE.com, a good aggro reg imo. He is like 25/20/4, but against me he has been pretty conservative this session. Do I call river?
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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fold turn-
who r u on stars?
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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The Odds God
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Flush
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 252
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DaPokerGun
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The secret to success in poker is to rig the odds in your favor.
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bode
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2006
Location: slow motion
Posts: 4,270
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
fold turn-
who r u on stars?
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seriously? isnt this the best card ever for villain to fire another barrell at? also, why no 3bet pre?
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Quote:
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eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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ive played with you!
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by The Odds God
DaPokerGun
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You always sit down with me HU at 6-max tables. Stop owning me, k?
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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I think he could conceivably be v-betting worse on the river if he is actually good an aggro.
I don't get why sauce said fold turn unless he is thinking a lot into BTHERE's turn bet-sizing here...
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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seems like an easy calldown vs bthere. your hand looks no better than 88, so he can be vbetting worse, and obviously he can be trying to bluff you off this
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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maybe im not being clear---i wouldnt fold a blank river if i called turn.... and if i dont know his tendencies at all id likely fold turn
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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The Odds God
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Flush
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 252
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bode
Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
fold turn-
who r u on stars?
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seriously? isnt this the best card ever for villain to fire another barrell at? also, why no 3bet pre? |
There are a lot of reasons for flatting here. I would also flat AA a lot here. He has been folding a lot to my 3bets, but I know he hates to be pushed around so it would be a tough spot if he decided to 4bet bluff here because I can't comfortably felt JJ in ep pf battle. He is also the type to either 4bet or fold OOP, he rarely just calls. Also, if he just calls and I make an overpair, he can fold like TT,99, overpair because my line looks really strong. So JJ loses a lot if I 4bet and it gets me into tough spots. while if I just call, he might make second best hand and I can extract more value. Meh, there more reasons for flatting here that I don't remember now. nothing wrong with 3betting.
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The secret to success in poker is to rig the odds in your favor.
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The Odds God
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Flush
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 252
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Massimo
Quote:
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Originally Posted by The Odds God
DaPokerGun
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You always sit down with me HU at 6-max tables. Stop owning me, k? |
who are you?
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The secret to success in poker is to rig the odds in your favor.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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yea flattign pre is definitely correct not close
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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gabe
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: trying to live
Posts: 7,964
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bthere is value betting the river and hes definitely good enough to have KT, and maybe even TT
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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i think i take back what i said earlier. Bthere probably expects you to not have much other than PPs after flatting preflop in this spot, and he'd probably expect you to semibluff/stackoff with 88 since flop is so scary. So if he respects you much I think he'd kinda expect you to have 99+ weighted towards 99-TT with some JJ-QQ.
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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wader
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 4
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Tough spot, you are kind of setting the trap with JJ by sc pre. What do you put him on??? Who the hell knows, it's pretty tough to put him on a hand when you are calling down. He probabbly puts you on 1010 at best. Looks to me like 78spade or at least a decent draw that blanked on river. Just one of those spots you got to go with your gut. i pay off here against him.
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MrWildHaggis
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Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 4
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Raise on the turn! K is the best card to come out here. Your hand range has more Ks than his. If he has a better hand than Js, he will push.
If not he will almost certainly call and you can lead out with confidence on the river. Aggression is the only way to find out where you stand here. Calling down is a straight gamble
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griffey24
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Toronto'ish
Posts: 4,611
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by MrWildHaggis
Raise on the turn! K is the best card to come out here. Your hand range has more Ks than his. If he has a better hand than Js, he will push.
If not he will almost certainly call and you can lead out with confidence on the river. Aggression is the only way to find out where you stand here. Calling down is a straight gamble |
I don't think our range doesn't have more K's in it than his. The only K's we can possibly have our KJ/KQ/Kxs that flat called preflop and fully floated this flop with K high.
His range has all K's that he's opening UTG and cont betting this board.
Raising this turn for info is turning our hand into a bluff. It's also stopping him from continuing any multi-street bluff he was about to pull.
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MrWildHaggis
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Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 4
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I mis read, i thought i was BB so i had credited myself with any Kx. You are right, i would not flat call from MP with any K, but i would never flat call JJ with an UTG raise. There are simply too many hands which could feel valued in from the button/blinds.
I agree with Sauce tho
Quote:
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Originally Posted by sauce123
i wouldnt fold a blank river if i called turn....
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but i think i would have to raise turn then cb river if called. I would fold if pushed on the turn. It doesnt matter that it turns your hand into a bluff, you have disguised your Js this far. Represent the KQ/KJ. If he pushes without the K because he thinks you are bluffing it is a straight gamble on his part. If you fc the turn, he will always cb the river regardless.
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by gabe
bthere is value betting the river
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Where are you picking this up from? I assume you mean you think this is a valuebet pretty much everytime.
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Massimo
Quote:
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Originally Posted by gabe
bthere is value betting the river
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Where are you picking this up from? I assume you mean you think this is a valuebet pretty much everytime. |
danny stop posting on my accnt damnit!
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by The Odds God
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Massimo
Quote:
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Originally Posted by The Odds God
DaPokerGun
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You always sit down with me HU at 6-max tables. Stop owning me, k? |
who are you? |
redgrape
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