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Renton
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08-28-2007, 06:02 AM
Post subject: 3/6 FR River CRAI bluff vs a bad nit
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 5,991
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Hero ($1022.40)
UTG ($814.40)
UTG+1 ($693.55)
MP1 ($620.55)
MP2 ($576)
CO ($600)
Button ($291.40)
SB ($718.40)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 5 , 6.
3 folds, MP2 raises to $12, 3 folds, Hero calls $6.
Flop: ($27) Q, 4 , 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $24, MP2 calls $24.
Turn: ($75) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $66, Hero calls $66.
River: ($207) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $96, Hero raises to $920.4
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EzDuzIt
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Full House
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Green Bay
Posts: 915
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i kind of like it. he hardly ever has a huge hand here so if hes a nit he will be folding hands like AQ here. the only really strong hand he could have is JJ which i think he would play a little differently or i guess slowplayed QQ but im doubting that so most of his range should fold to this.
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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Seems like a very good spot for this move. The key to a successful c/r on the river is usually that villain needs to think that you can reasonably assume that he will bet if you check, which certainly seems like the case here. A scarecard is another important thing that we have here.
It's also important not to give any timing tells. First a slow check (you are 'thinking' if you should lead or c/r) and then a fairly quick raise seems to look the strongest (raising with a flush seems pretty obvious here so it shouldn't take a long time to decide how much to raise).
I think I would almost always raise the turn with 30% equity though, but this way you get $96 more if he is weak. Of course it's a lot more risky as well.
Well done, no matter what the results were.
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Pelion
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 3,206
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dont nits check AQ on that river? Im worried that he has something big enough to make a crying call with.
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gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.
bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Pelion
dont nits check AQ on that river? Im worried that he has something big enough to make a crying call with.
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I don't see how villain can call this profitably without a flush. He needs to put in almost $400 more to call. Those crying calls just aren't profitable, but it's quite possible that villain has a flush here.
Villain needs to fold over 63% of the time for this raise to be profitable and I think that's very reasonable to assume here.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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looks good
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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zook
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 3,676
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I like it. Would you c/c the nut flush draw on the turn there though?
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Renton
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 5,991
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yeah im capable of it, this guy doesn't read extremely deeply though
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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personally I like a smaller raise better but I like the idea in general. Although, I'm betting that with a flush in this spot you'd lead, but it's not that important because opp doesn't know this (I would think) and i cant expect a guy at these stakes to think that deep.
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