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ESS123
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04-06-2010, 09:13 AM
Post subject: 2kNL: Bluffcatching
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#1 (permalink)
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 52
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Villain is mangal65. He is a new reg. Super aggro, folds to only about 35% of 3bets. Gets it in super light pre and 4bets a ton. 3bets himself about 14-15% (skewed by about 10% of the sample being HU, the other 90 being 6m).
I know he is capable of bluffing in this spot due to this hand where I cooler him.
Full Tilt Poker $10/$20 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 626694
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BB): $2795.75
BTN/SB: $2040.00
Pre Flop: ($30.00) Hero is BB with A Q 
BTN/SB raises to $60, Hero raises to $200, BTN/SB calls $140
Flop: ($400.00) 6 7 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $200, BTN/SB calls $200
Turn: ($800.00) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets $480, Hero calls $480
River: ($1760.00) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets $1160 all in, Hero SUPER FIST PUMP SNAPcalls $1160
Final Pot: $4080.00
Hero shows A Q (two pair, Nines and Sevens)
BTN/SB shows K Q (two pair, Nines and Sevens)
Hero wins $4079.50
(Rake: $0.50)
Full Tilt Poker $10/$20 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 626692
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BB): $2020.00
BTN/SB: $2029.50
Pre Flop: ($30.00) Hero is BB with A K 
BTN/SB raises to $60, Hero raises to $220, BTN/SB calls $160
Flop: ($440.00) 7 6 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB checks
Turn: ($440.00) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets $300, Hero calls $300
River: ($1040.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets $600, Hero ???
Now different opponent. Surferkel. Don't know much about him. He came to my HU table and this is like within the first 20-30 hands. He isn't the type that 3bets 30%, tho. That's about all I know. I semi-cooler stacked him a few hands prior early in session, where I flatted A9s pre, c/r AJ9, barr 9 and he shoves. He had AQ. I'm not sure how exactly this would affect this specific opponent, but maybe he will bluff more? I don't know
Full Tilt Poker $10/$20 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 626695
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Hero (BTN/SB): $4049.50
BB: $2029.50
Pre Flop: ($30.00) Hero is BTN/SB with J K 
Hero raises to $40, BB calls $20
Flop: ($80.00) 7 K T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $60, BB raises to $200, Hero calls $140
Turn: ($480.00) 5 (2 players)
BB bets $320, Hero calls $320
River: ($1120.00) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $1469.50 all in, Hero requests TIME, Hero ???
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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#1: I don't get his river shove. Maybe it was some weird value/merge type of bet?
#2: I like a bet on the turn if you don't plan to call him down.
#3: Call. If he's got QJss then lucky him.
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nutsinho
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
Posts: 3,280
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AK-cf turn
KJ-fold river
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My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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Hand 1: I'd bet flop, but c/f turn as played.
Hand 2: Given what just happened I would call. He's barely repping anything and a shit ton of draws missed. I will fold here despite this vs a lot of people.
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ESS123
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 52
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for the ppl wanting to c/f AK on turn:
1. How do you play river, as played?
2. Don't you think we have the best hand a ton? I mean, look at the previous hand where he bets the turn with KQ
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The surest way to end a gambling career is to gamble.
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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ESS, don't you think he bets all bluffs on the flop on hand 2? thats why river is a fold i just don't think he ever has air.
hand 3 i'd just fold i wouldnt give him credit for bluffing enough yet
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Numbr2intheWorld
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,561
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nvm
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ESS123
for the ppl wanting to c/f AK on turn:
1. How do you play river, as played?
2. Don't you think we have the best hand a ton? I mean, look at the previous hand where he bets the turn with KQ
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This is my problem with this logic. If I felt like I was going to get bluffed a lot when I checked twice here, I probably would have bet the flop with AK. In a spot like this your just setting yourself up to get owned here. I would expect some of the time when he was planning to bluff, he would bet the flop. 2nd, there are only so many rivers where you'd want to call and the EV of those calls are speculative.
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ESS123
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 52
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so are you specifically giving him credit for having a 9 here, and betting it twice? (in the AK hand)
and for those advocating folding river in the KJ hand: What is the worst hand you call with that you get to the river this way with?
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The surest way to end a gambling career is to gamble.
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IowaSkinsFan
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 7,148
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As I said I would call here given the game flow situation, but without it I would call with K3. Its too marginal to not call here when you are beating a plausible value hand.
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sauce123
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Dizzy
Posts: 2,405
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yup
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I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
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pocketfours
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Moderator
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Lighting sweet moneys on fire.
Posts: 2,166
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Doesn't turn sizing in the KJ hand make you guys at all suspicious?
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Ravageur
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Official Montreal SwampRat
Full House
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Montreal, Canada
Posts: 1,242
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maybe i'm wrong (and i'm sure ppl react differently at higher stakes) but i feel like after ppl lose a buyin, if they're not tilting (auto-3-betting) then usually they're more passive and just stationny. So I think I like folding the KJ, though it's close.
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Family Cruise IMO
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ESS123
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3-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 52
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results: Call in all spots, win in all spots.
Hand 1 results are shown
Hand 2 he had KxQd (I figured I beat most 2 high card 1 diamond hands here and hero CAWLED)
Hand 3: I think the read I gave of me stacking him prior was big. He had 4h8h.
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The surest way to end a gambling career is to gamble.
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