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What do you think of my turn bluff?

  
 
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sk8r_daniel
Old 11-05-2009, 06:32 PM     Post subject: What do you think of my turn bluff? #1 (permalink)  
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Posts: 279
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Villain is 24/10 over 93 hands

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem

Hero is Dealt KsJS

iPoker
7 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG TEAMPOKERNRG ($164.40)
UTG+1 killa9898 ($116.20)
MP Niceguys ($43.25)
CO fixxxx1 ($36.95)
BTN Hero ($86.50)
SB Slyfoxed ($71.70)
BB bxbdh ($51.43)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 7 players)
TEAMPOKERNRG raises to $3.50, killa9898 calls $3.50, 1 fold, fixxxx1 calls $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, Slyfoxed calls $3, bxbdh calls $2.50

Flop: ($21, 6 players)
Slyfoxed checks, bxbdh checks, TEAMPOKERNRG bets $18, 2 folds, Hero calls $18, Slyfoxed folds, bxbdh folds

Turn: ($57, 2 players)
TEAMPOKERNRG checks, [color=#cc0000]Hero bets $34
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settecba
Old 11-05-2009, 09:45 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: stealing blinds from UTG
Posts: 295
Villains range is probably { TT+,66,AsQs }. I dont think he folds much if any of that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ISF
Getting good at poker is like that scene in the matrix where Neo suddenly sees that everyone is just a bunch of structured numbers and then he starts bending those numbers in really weird ways.
 
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
Old 11-05-2009, 10:36 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 586
I would want some kind of read on oppenent than just those stats over a small sample. With that said, if you are going to bluff this turn, be prepared to shove a lot of rivers (especially since ur not full stacked) or don't bluff turn at all. Again, you would need a read his not stationy and prlly would call a turn bet with the stronger part of his range but only call river bets with his nut range.
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sk8r_daniel
Old 11-05-2009, 10:59 PM #4 (permalink)  
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If I'm not going to bluff, how bad is the flop call?
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Micro2Macro
Old 11-05-2009, 11:23 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Location: No more spew nonsense
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the ten on the turn isn't the greatest card to bluff imo, but certainly there will be other turns that will give you more equity and a perhaps a better spot to steal. folding flop certainly isn't an option here.
<@spoonitnow> hustler's don't bitch they grind hard and die rich
 
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oskar
Old 11-12-2009, 09:05 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Totally fine imo.
I think checking back would be kind of bad.

Do a quick calc on how much fold equity you need (don't forget your equity when called) - and you'll be like whoa.

Sucks to get c/raised though.
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