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Value town on river, how much to go?

  
 
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pokerfan
Old 03-07-2008, 03:57 PM     Post subject: Value town on river, how much to go? #1 (permalink)  
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villain is 50/15.6/1.0 over 35 hands, unknown. i'm wondering how much i should value bet on the river to get call from worse hands given his stats.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($100.80)
Hero ($119.50)
MP2 ($107.75)
MP3 ($18.50)
CO ($25.30)
Button ($81.15)
SB ($349.50)
BB ($168.10)
UTG ($90.15)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8, 8.
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, MP2 calls $4, 2 folds, Button calls $4, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold.

Flop: ($17) 4, 6, 2 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12, MP2 folds, Button folds, SB calls $12.

Turn: ($41) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $28, SB calls $28.

River: ($97) T (2 players)
SB checks, [color=#CC3333]Hero bets ? how much?
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Warpe
Old 03-07-2008, 04:55 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Warpe is a jewel in the roughWarpe is a jewel in the roughWarpe is a jewel in the roughWarpe is a jewel in the rough
 what does he think of you?

shove might look like a bluff to him. otherwise, 1/2 pot-ish.



 
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dev
Old 03-07-2008, 05:40 PM #3 (permalink)  
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we've only got like 63 left... so we kinda have to shove here.

The bottom of his range is busted draws that wont call anything anyway. He might double you up with a pair if he can put you on a busted flush draw though.
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pokerfan
Old 03-07-2008, 09:39 PM #4 (permalink)  
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i bet $45 and he folded way tooo much???
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dev
Old 03-08-2008, 04:53 AM #5 (permalink)  
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busted draw, we weren't getting anything from him anyway.
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nutsinho
Old 03-08-2008, 06:48 AM #6 (permalink)  
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 how could this not be a shove? 45 is uniformly worse than all in
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Alexos
Old 03-08-2008, 07:10 AM #7 (permalink)  
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 this is a good place to shove
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