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Miffed22001
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12-08-2007, 01:07 AM
Post subject: Value Overbet?
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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Opp is a good 1/2 winner.
Ive been active, probably as high as 30/20 over about an hour (lots of hands+ playing good(for once)
I think he calls with a all his range he bet the turn with right because i have a fd...
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
MP1 ($448.95)
MP2 ($418.10)
MP3 ($123.60)
CO ($203.45)
Button ($138.30)
SB ($197.70)
Hero ($200)
UTG ($196.75)
UTG+1 ($287.80)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 , Q .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $2, MP1 calls $2, 1 fold, MP3 calls $2, 2 folds, SB completes, Hero checks.
Flop: ($10) 4 , 7 , J (5 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $8, MP3 folds, SB calls $8, Hero calls $8, UTG+1 folds.
Turn: ($34) 6 (3 players)
SB bets $29, Hero calls $29, MP1 folds.
River: ($92) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero shoves
(sb has $160 behind, pot is now $240)
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wufwugy
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 1,660
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No like. He doesn't even wanna call with a 3.
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Deanglow
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: lol
Posts: 2,443
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I think with 2pair he is only calling a max of $50 here.
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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this line always screams missed flush turned straight... honestly
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Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
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HiLo
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Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 250
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more info on opp please - need to put him on a range.
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BankItDrew
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Losing Prop Bets
Posts: 2,789
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villains range is not THAT important considering what cards are on this board.
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Girlfriend: Why are the werewolves more important than living life?!
Girlfriend: Are you on the forums doing the werewolves again?
Girlfriend: Soo... you forgot to run that errand, but you had time to werewolf? Wtf?
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Renton
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Atlanta, GA, USA
Posts: 5,991
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just throw out like 38 bucks
also bet flop
also fold turn mostly, unless you reaaly feel like you have good IO here.
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,813
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bet pot
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HiLo
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Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 250
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BankItDrew
villains range is not THAT important considering what cards are on this board.
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I couldn't agree less!
OP is asking whether he should push the river with a non-nut hand. First thing I want to know is what is the likelihood that opp has the nuts!
A8 spades is a possible hand here so before considering a shove I am thinking:
1. Does he complete SB with AXs.
2. Does he bet turn with combo draw?
3. Is he capable of anticipating we will bet when checked to and going for a river check-raise with the nut hand?
His turn bet only really fits a narrow range of hands (assuming he is a good player) - so with a bit more specific info we can work out where we stand here and what the best play is.
tbh I am having a hard time believeing he would call a shove with 2 pair and finding it difficult to put him on a set given how the hand played out (hence need for info on opp) so can't see what he calls a big bet with here...
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Miffed22001
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Marry Me Cheryl!!!
Posts: 8,181
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Renton
just throw out like 38 bucks
also bet flop
also fold turn mostly, unless you reaaly feel like you have good IO here.
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i felt i could bluff any 4 card straight falling plus obviously getting value on a flush, only reason i didnt fold turn.
Ive been fed up of betting and getting raised from out of the blinds so ive played much differently out of the blinds recently.
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